Match Info

DFB Pokal - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 December 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jollenbeck M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	20:45	SuperSport 4
Argentina	16:45	Disney+
Austria	20:45	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 3
Brazil	16:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	21:45	Nova Sport
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 1, Oneplay
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	21:45	Veikkaus TV
France	20:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free, L'Equipe, New World TV
Germany	20:45	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport 2, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport News, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW, ZDF
Greece	21:45	ERT 2, ERT Sports 2
Hungary	20:45	Sport 2
India	01:15	Vision+
Indonesia	02:45	K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
Israel	21:45	Sport 3
Italy	20:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kenya	22:45	Gotv
Kosovo	20:45	ART Sport 5
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	13:45	Disney+, ESPN 2
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	08:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	20:45	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
North Macedonia	20:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	19:45	DAZN 3, DAZN / App
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3
Serbia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	20:45	Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 4
South Africa	21:45	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	20:45	Gol Play, GolStadium
Switzerland	20:45	Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	02:45	True Ball Thai 1, True ID, True Sport 2
Turkey	22:45	Sifir
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Arab Emirates	23:45	Abu Dhabi Sports 1
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+


	Union Berlin		Bayern Munich

	1	X	2
	7.5	5.5	1.33	Watch
	8.8	5.4	1.34	Watch
	8.74	5.61	1.34
	8.83	5.63	1.32	Watch
	8	5	1.3
	7.9	5.8	1.37	Watch
	8.5	5.66	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.32 ↓ (9.07)	5.51 ↓ (6.26)	1.33 ↑ (1.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
11.4%

Draw
17.2%

Bayern Munich
71.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

10.5%

15.2%

74.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	10.7%	89.3%

Union Berlin - Bayern Munich Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Union Berlin (7.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Bayern (1.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bayern Munich will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern Munich will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Union Berlin (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Bayern (votes: 12 - 80%). Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronnow F. (G) 19. Haberer J. 5. Doekhi D. 14. Querfeld L. 4. Leite D. 15. Rothe T. 13. Schafer A. 8. Khedira R. (C) 6. Kemlein A. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 10. Ansah I.	1. Neuer M. (C) 44. Stanisic J. 2. Upamecano D. 4. Tah J. 27. Laimer K. 6. Kimmich J. 45. Pavlovic A. 17. Olise M. 42. Karl L. 14. Diaz L. 9. Kane H.
Substitutes
9. Burcu L. 18. Juranovic J. 39. Kohn D. 33. Kral A. 27. Ljubicic M. 34. Nsoki S. 31. Raab M. (G) 21. Skarke T. 28. Trimmel C.	20. Bischof T. 23. Boey S. 7. Gnabry S. 8. Goretzka L. 22. Guerreiro R. 21. Ito H. 11. Jackson N. 3. Kim Min-Jae 40. Urbig J. (G)
Coaches
Baumgart S.	Kompany V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 3)
12', 0 - 1, Ansah I. (Own goal),
24', 0 - 2, Kane H. ⚽, Kimmich J. (A),
40', 1 - 2, Querfeld L. (Penalty Awarded),
45+4', 1 - 3, Leite D. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Pavlovic A. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
54', Kane H. 🟨,
55', Kompany V. 🟨,
55', 2 - 3, Querfeld L. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Karl L. ↓, Gnabry S. ↑,
80', Ansah I. 🟨,
81', Upamecano D. 🟨,
83', Schafer A. ↓, Burcu L. ↑,
83', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Skarke T. ↑,
86', Laimer K. ↓, Ito H. ↑,
86', Olise M. ↓, Kim Min-Jae ↑,
87', Kemlein A. 🟨,
88', Rothe T. ↓, Nsoki S. ↑,
90+1', Neuer M. 🟨,
90+2', Burcu L. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 0.

Union Berlin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bayern is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Union Berlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Union Berlin has had a series of home games.

In this match, Bayern is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Union Berlin: Bogdanov D. (Injury) Markgraf A. (Leg Injury) Skov R. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Union Berlin won 0 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:31. (average 0.8:2.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Union Berlin won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 1.1:2.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Union Berlin - Heidenheim	1:2 ✺
23.11.25	St. Pauli - Union Berlin	0:1 ✺
08.11.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Union Berlin - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Union Berlin - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWTTW
- Bayern Munich
German Bundesliga
29.11.25	Bayern Munich - St. Pauli	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.11.25	Arsenal - Bayern Munich	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
22.11.25	Bayern Munich - Freiburg	6:2 ✺
08.11.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Bayern Munich	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	2:2
15.03.25	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	1:1
02.11.24	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	3:0
20.04.24	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	1:5
24.01.24	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	1:0
26.02.23	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	3:0
03.09.22	Union Berlin - Bayern Munich	1:1

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