Match Info

Championship - Round 17

Date: 26 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+


	Wrexham		Bristol City

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.75	Watch
	2.52	3.26	2.87	Watch
	2.56	3.33	2.94
	2.34	3.31	3.05	Watch
	2.53	3.16	2.77	Watch
	2.5	3.33	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↑ (2.34)	3.27 ↓ (3.31)	2.87 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
38%

Draw
29%

Bristol City
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

28.6%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.2%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Bristol City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bristol City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.8%	42.1%	21.1%

Wrexham - Bristol City Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 7 - 38.9%). Bristol City will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 16.4% – 61.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Wrexham (1.78) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Bristol City (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Wrexham (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Wrexham (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Bristol City (votes: 2 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 24. Scarr D. 5. Hyam D. 18. Sheaf B. 47. Longman R. 7. McClean J. (C) 15. Dobson G. 14. Thomason G. 19. Moore K. 33. Broadhead N.	23. Vitek R. (G) 19. Tanner G. 16. Dickie R. (C) 24. Roberts H. 17. Sykes M. 4. Randell A. 14. Vyner Z. 2. McCrorie R. 7. Hirakawa Y. 11. Mehmeti A. 18. Riis E.
Substitutes
29. Barnett R. 25. Burton C. (G) 6. Coady C. 2. Doyle C. 9. Hardie R. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 28. Smith S. 10. Windass J.	30. Armstrong S. 12. Knight J. 9. Mayulu F. 34. Meerholz J. 31. Morrison E. 21. Neto Borges 1. O'Leary M. (G) 3. Pring C. 25. Yeboah E.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Broadhead N. ⚽, Thomason G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Hirakawa Y. 🟨,
50', Scarr D. 🟨,
53', Dickie R. 🟨,
64', Sykes M. ↓, Armstrong S. ↑,
67', Sheaf B. ↓, James M. ↑,
67', Broadhead N. ↓, Windass J. ↑,
72', Roberts H. ↓, Knight J. ↑,
74', 2 - 0, Vitek R. (Own goal),
78', McCrorie R. ↓, Pring C. ↑,
79', Hirakawa Y. ↓, Neto Borges ↑,
81', Moore K. ↓, Smith S. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Wrexham: Brunt L. (Thigh Injury) Cannon A. (Knee Injury) James A. (Inactive) Kabore I. (Inactive) Lee E. (Knee Injury) O'Brien L. (Yellow Cards) Rodriguez J. (Leg Injury) Ward D. (Elbow Injury)

There will not play in Bristol City: Atkinson R. (Hamstring Injury) Bird M. (Calf Injury) McNally L. (Knee Injury) Stokes J. (Foot Injury) Williams J. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Bristol City: Armstrong S. (Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Wrexham - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 40.42%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Championship
22.11.25	Ipswich Town - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
08.11.25	Wrexham - Charlton Athletic	1:0 ✺
05.11.25	Portsmouth - Wrexham	0:0 ✺
31.10.25	Wrexham - Coventry City	3:2 ✺
English League Cup
28.10.25	Wrexham - Cardiff City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWTWL
- Bristol City
English League Championship
22.11.25	Bristol City - Swansea City	3:0 ✺
07.11.25	Watford - Bristol City	1:1 ✺
04.11.25	Bristol City - Blackburn Rovers	0:1 ✺
01.11.25	Stoke City - Bristol City	5:1 ✺
25.10.25	Bristol City - Birmingham City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTLLW

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