Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 38

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)


	Wrexham		Harrogate Town

	1	X	2
	1.3	5.75	9
	1.31	5.5	8.5
	1.3	5.5	9
	1.32	5.78	9.22
	1.32	5.78	9.22
	1.29	5.5	9
	1.3	5.6	8.75	Watch
	1.28	5.4	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)	5.6 ↑ (4.85)	8.84 ↑ (7.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
72.5%

Draw
16.9%

Harrogate Town
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

19%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

17.9%

11.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Harrogate Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harrogate Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Wrexham - Harrogate Town Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Okonkwo A. (G) 29. Barnett R. 32. Cleworth M. 15. O'Connell E. 25. Boyle W. 19. Mendy J. 23. McClean J. (C) 20. Cannon A. 38. Lee E. 9. Palmer O. 10. Mullin P.	31. Belshaw J. (G) 2. Abu D. 15. O'Connor A. 6. Burrell W. (C) 30. Gibson L. 10. Daly M. 8. Cornelius D. 7. Thomson G. 24. March J. 9. Odoh A. 18. Muldoon J.
Substitutes
17. Bolton L. 7. Davies J. 26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 11. Marriott J. 4. Tozer B. 8. Young L.	27. Bloxham T. 22. Dooley S. 4. Falkingham J. 23. Foulds M. 1. Oxley M. (G) 19. Sivi J. 17. Sutton L.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Weaver S.

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 2.

Recent matches Wrexham is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Harrogate is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Wrexham have a series of guest games.

In this match Wrexham is absolute favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
09.03.24	Morecambe - Wrexham	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Wrexham - Accrington Stanley	4:0 ✺
27.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Gillingham - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
20.02.24	Milton Keynes Dons - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWTLT
- Harrogate Town
English League Two
09.03.24	Harrogate Town - Crawley Town	1:2 ✺
02.03.24	Swindon Town - Harrogate Town	1:1 ✺
27.02.24	Harrogate Town - Newport County	1:4 ✺
24.02.24	Harrogate Town - Walsall	0:2 ✺
17.02.24	Crewe Alexandra - Harrogate Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
28.11.23	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	2:2
English FA Cup
06.11.21	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	2:1
English National League
25.01.20	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	0:2
08.10.19	Wrexham - Harrogate Town	1:1
27.04.19	Wrexham - Harrogate Town	2:1
English FA Cup
23.10.18	Wrexham - Harrogate Town	2:0
20.10.18	Harrogate Town - Wrexham	0:0

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