Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 29

Date: 28 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	CBS, Paramount+


	Wrexham		Stevenage Borough

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.25	4	Watch
	1.98	3.1	4
	2	3.1	4.2	Watch
	2.02	3.18	4.33
	1.94	3.11	4.35	Watch
	2.05	3.1	4
	1.94	3.29	4.22	Watch
	2	3.1	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↑ (1.98)	3.15 ↓ (3.29)	4.16 ↑ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
47.5%

Draw
29.9%

Stevenage Borough
22.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

28.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

29.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Stevenage Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stevenage Borough than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.5%	23.1%	15.4%

Wrexham - Stevenage Borough Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Wrexham will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Stevenage will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 42.8% – 80.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okonkwo A. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 24. Scarr D. 6. O'Connor T. 29. Barnett R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 7. McClean J. (C) 38. Lee E. 9. Palmer O.	13. Cooper M. (G) 14. Smith K. 6. Sweeney D. 5. Piergianni C. (C) 16. Freestone L. 22. Phillips D. 26. King E. 11. Roberts J. 10. Kemp D. 19. Reid J. 9. Appere L.
Substitutes
26. Fletcher S. 21. Howard M. (G) 16. Longman R. 11. Marriott J. 10. Mullin P. 5. O'Connell E. 23. Revan S.	1. Ashby-Hammond T. (G) 7. Freeman N. 15. Goode C. 17. List E. 23. Thompson L. 18. White H. 30. Young J.
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Revell A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Kemp D. ⚽,
18', 0 - 2, Reid J. ⚽, Appere L. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Palmer O. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
46', James M. ↓, Mullin P. ↑,
55', 1 - 2, Rathbone O. ⚽, McClean J. (A),
61', Smith K. ↓, Freeman N. ↑,
64', Appere L. ↓, Young J. ↑,
64', Roberts J. ↓, List E. ↑,
69', Rathbone O. 🟨,
71', 1 - 3, Young J. ⚽, Kemp D. (A),
72', Scarr D. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
72', Barnett R. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
81', Sweeney D. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
81', King E. ↓, Goode C. ↑,
89', Phillips D. 🟨,
90', Cooper M. 🟨,
90', 2 - 3, Cleworth M. ⚽, Lee E. (A),
90+1', Reid J. 🟨,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: ) and 15).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Wrexham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Stevenage have a series of guest games.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Last Results with these Odds

Wrexham - the odds 1.98 are the expected chance of winning is 47.71%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League One
23.01.25	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
16.01.25	Shrewsbury Town - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Wrexham - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
01.01.25	Barnsley - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
29.12.24	Wrexham - Wigan Athletic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWLW
- Stevenage Borough
English League One
25.01.25	Barnsley - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
21.01.25	Leyton Orient - Stevenage Borough	0:1 ✺
English League One
18.01.25	Stevenage Borough - Wigan Athletic	1:2 ✺
04.01.25	Lincoln City - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
01.01.25	Northampton Town - Stevenage Borough	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English League One
01.10.24	Stevenage Borough - Wrexham	1:0

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