Match Info

ENGLAND: LEAGUE TWO - ROUND 39

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Racecourse Ground (Wrexham)

Referee: Oldham S. (Eng)


	Wrexham		Tranmere Rovers

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5.5
	1.61	4.1	4.8
	1.53	4.5	5.5
	1.61	4.32	5.39
	1.61	4.32	5.39
	1.57	4.2	5
	1.62	4.15	4.83	Watch
	1.56	4	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.65)	4.2 ↑ (3.83)	5.16 ↑ (4.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wrexham
59.3%

Draw
22.5%

Tranmere Rovers
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

24.3%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7%

22.7%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wrexham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Wrexham - Tranmere Rovers Predictions

Users Predictions: Wrexham will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Okonkwo A. (G) 29. Barnett R. 32. Cleworth M. 15. O'Connell E. 25. Boyle W. 19. Mendy J. 8. Young L. (C) 20. Cannon A. 38. Lee E. 26. Fletcher S. 10. Mullin P.	1. McGee L. (G) 2. O'Connor L. 21. Yarney J. 6. Turnbull J. 27. Wood C. 25. Apter R. 4. Walker B. 8. Hendry R. 19. Saunders H. 18. Jennings C. (C) 9. Norris L.
Substitutes
17. Bolton L. 18. Dalby S. 7. Davies J. 21. Howard M. (G) 22. O'Connor T. 9. Palmer O. 4. Tozer B.	30. Belehouan J. 14. Dennis K. 11. Hawkes J. 22. Lewis P. 16. Merrie C. 7. Morris K. 13. Murphy J. (G)
Coaches
Parkinson P.	Adkins N.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One and 16).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Wrexham won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Wrexham won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wrexham AFC
English League Two
12.03.24	Wrexham - Harrogate Town	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Morecambe - Wrexham	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Wrexham - Accrington Stanley	4:0 ✺
27.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Wrexham	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Gillingham - Wrexham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TWWTL
- Tranmere Rovers
English League Two
12.03.24	Tranmere Rovers - Mansfield Town	2:1 ✺
09.03.24	Gillingham - Tranmere Rovers	1:1 ✺
02.03.24	Tranmere Rovers - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
27.02.24	Swindon Town - Tranmere Rovers	3:1 ✺
24.02.24	Forest Green Rovers - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
02.09.23	Tranmere Rovers - Wrexham	0:1
English National League
27.01.18	Wrexham - Tranmere Rovers	2:2
23.09.17	Tranmere Rovers - Wrexham	0:1
01.04.17	Wrexham - Tranmere Rovers	0:1
English FA Trophy
10.12.16	Wrexham - Tranmere Rovers	0:1
English National League
08.10.16	Tranmere Rovers - Wrexham	2:0
16.04.16	Tranmere Rovers - Wrexham	1:2

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