Match Info

ENGLAND: EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Adams Park (High Wycombe)

Referee: Allison S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Wycombe Wanderers		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.5	1.62	Watch
	5	4.4	1.6
	5	4.75	1.6	Watch
	5.15	4.49	1.61
	4.89	4.62	1.59	Watch
	9	5	1.33
	5.4	4.6	1.55	Watch
	5	4.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.52 ↓ (9.07)	4.64 ↓ (5.35)	1.56 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Wycombe Wanderers
17.5%

Draw
20.8%

Aston Villa
61.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.5%

17.8%

71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14%

13.4%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wycombe Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wycombe Wanderers's performance.

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aston Villa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wycombe Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aston Villa than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aston Villa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	0%	88.2%

Wycombe Wanderers - Aston Villa Predictions

Users Predictions: Aston Villa will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ravizzoli F. (G) 25. Skura D. 17. Low J. 5. Hartridge A. 31. Pattenden J. 4. Scowen J. (C) 8. Butcher M. 16. Bakinson T. 7. Wheeler D. 23. Sadlier K. 30. Lubala B.	18. Gauci J. (G) 20. Nedeljkovic K. 26. Bogarde L. 50. Swinkels S. 22. Maatsen I. 6. Barkley R. 24. Onana A. 31. Bailey L. 10. Buendia E. (C) 72. Young K. 9. Duran J.
Substitutes
19. George S. (G) 2. Grimmer J. 3. Harvie D. 20. Humphreys C. 24. Kone R. 10. Leahy L. 26. McCarthy J. 12. McCleary G. 44. Onyedinma F.	54. Borland A. 79. Broggio B. 3. Diego Carlos 56. Jimoh J. 77. Moore K. 66. Patterson T. 41. Ramsey J. 45. Rowe T. 48. Zych O. (G)
Coaches
Bloomfield M.	Emery U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
53', Bakinson T. 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Buendia E. ⚽,
62', Onana A. ↓, Borland A. ↑,
62', Bailey L. ↓, Ramsey J. ↑,
63', Wheeler D. ↓, Onyedinma F. ↑,
63', Sadlier K. ↓, McCleary G. ↑,
63', Lubala B. ↓, Kone R. ↑,
64', Scowen J. ↓, Humphreys C. ↑,
75', Butcher M. ↓, Leahy L. ↑,
85', 0 - 2, Duran J. (Pen),
86', Young K. ↓, Broggio B. ↑,
90', Maatsen I. ↓, Patterson T. ↑,
90+1', Buendia E. ↓, Jimoh J. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Kone R. ⚽,

Preview

Wycombe in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aston Villa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Aston Villa is indisputable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Wycombe won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Wycombe won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wycombe Wanderers
English League One
21.09.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Cambridge United	2:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
17.09.24	Wycombe Wanderers - Brighton & Hove Albion U21	5:3 ✺
English League One
14.09.24	Northampton Town - Wycombe Wanderers	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Blackpool - Wycombe Wanderers	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
28.08.24	Swansea City - Wycombe Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWWTW
- Aston Villa
English Premier League
21.09.24	Aston Villa - Wolverhampton Wanderers	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.24	Young Boys - Aston Villa	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
14.09.24	Aston Villa - Everton	3:2 ✺
31.08.24	Leicester City - Aston Villa	1:2 ✺
24.08.24	Aston Villa - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
19.01.16	Aston Villa - Wycombe Wanderers	2:0
09.01.16	Wycombe Wanderers - Aston Villa	1:1
Club Friendly
20.07.13	Wycombe Wanderers - Aston Villa	2:2

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