The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Machida Zelvia 44.3%
Draw 28.7%
Nagoya Grampus 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
30.4%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.6%
29.8%
27.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Machida Zelvia - Nagoya Grampus Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 8 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Tani K. (G) 3. Shoji G. (C) 50. Okamura D. 19. Nakayama Y. 88. Nakamura H. 16. Mae H. 23. Shirasaki R. 26. Hayashi K. 27. Erik 7. Soma Y. 9. Fujio S.
1. Schmidt D. (G) 2. Nogami Y. 13. Fujii H. 3. Sato Y. 9. Asano Y. 14. Morishima T. 31. Takamine T. 27. Nakayama K. 7. Izumi R. (C) 22. Kimura Y. 11. Yamagishi Y.
Substitutes
5. Dresevic I. 49. Kuwayama K. 11. Masuyama A. 6. Mochizuki H. 13. Morita T. (G) 10. Na Sang-Ho 8. Sento K. 18. Shimoda H. 39. Vasquez B.
33. Kikuchi T. 19. Koda H. 20. Mikuni K. 18. Nagai K. 41. Ono M. 30. Sugiura S. 32. Suzuki H. 16. Takeda Y. (G) 17. Uchida T.
Coaches
Kuroda G.
Petrovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
1', Shoji G. 🟨,
17', Kimura Y. 🟨,
45+4', Takamine T. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Erik 🟨,
58', Mae H. 🟨,
69', Fujio S. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
75', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
76', Nogami Y. ↓, Uchida T. ↑,
84', Takamine T. 🟨,
84', Kimura Y. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
84', Izumi R. ↓, Suzuki H. ↑,
85', Erik ↓, Kuwayama K. ↑,
85', Shoji G. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
90+3', Nakamura H. ↓, Mochizuki H. ↑,
90+3', Sato Y. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
90+8', Takamine T. 🟨,
Extra Time (2 - 1)
91', Shirasaki R. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
91', Okamura D. ↓, Vasquez B. ↑,
93', 0 - 1, Nagai K. ⚽, Koda H. (A),
95', Morishima T. ↓, Ono M. ↑,
100', 1 - 1, Nakayama Y. ⚽, Kuwayama K. (A),
113', 2 - 1, Shimoda H. ⚽, Nakayama Y. (A),
Preview
First leg result: 2-2.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 4.
Machida Zelvia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Nagoya has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Machida Zelvia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Machida Zelvia could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Kikuchi R.
(Knee Injury)
Mae H.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Nagoya: Koyamatsu T.
(Knee Injury)
Marcus Vinicius
(Broken Leg)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Inagaki S.
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Machida Zelvia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Machida Zelvia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
Watch
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Tani K. (G) 
Erik 
Dresevic I. 
Na Sang-Ho 
Vasquez B. 
Petrovic M. 
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