The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yokohama FC 41.3%
Draw 32.4%
Nagoya Grampus 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
31.2%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
31.9%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yokohama FC's performance.
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nagoya Grampus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yokohama FC that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nagoya Grampus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
25%
12.5%
Yokohama FC - Nagoya Grampus Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Yokohama FC will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%). Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FC: 29% โ 96%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Slowik J. (G) 22. Iwatake K. 2. Nduka B. 5. Fukumori A. 8. Yamane T. 4. Lara Y. 76. Yamada K. 70. Hosoi K. 91. Lukian 10. Joao Paulo 9. Sakuragawa S.
16. Takeda Y. (G) 70. Hara T. 13. Fujii H. 3. Sato Y. 2. Nogami Y. 15. Inagaki S. 14. Morishima T. 55. Tokumoto S. 10. Mateus 7. Izumi R. 22. Kimura Y.
Substitutes
90. Adailton 39. Endo T. 21. Ichikawa A. (G) 16. Ito M. 15. Ito S. 23. Kubota R. 34. Ogura H. 48. Shimbo K. 7. Suzuki M.
77. Junker K. 26. Kato G. 6. Kawazura A. 33. Kikuchi T. 20. Mikuni K. 44. Mori S. 18. Nagai K. 35. Pisano A. (G) 11. Yamagishi Y.
Coaches
Miura F.
Hasegawa K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Sakuragawa S. ⚽, Fukumori A. (A),
45+4', Mateus ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Tokumoto S. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
59', Lukian ↓, Kubota R. ↑,
59', Fukumori A. ↓, Ito M. ↑,
64', Nogami Y. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
68', Sakuragawa S. ↓, Suzuki M. ↑,
69', Nduka B. 🟨,
71', 1 - 1, Inagaki S. (Pen),
73', Ito M. 🟨,
74', Morishima T. 🟨,
79', Joao Paulo ↓, Adailton ↑,
79', Kimura Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Sato Y. ⚽,
83', Takeda Y. 🟨,
90+4', 2 - 2, Ito M. ⚽,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FC won 0.
Recent form of Yokohama FC has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nagoya is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
Yokohama FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in Yokohama FC: Leo Bahia
(Knee Injury)
Miyata I.
(Muscle Injury)
Murata T.
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Kodama T.
(Finger Injury)
Schmidt D.
(Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Nagoya: Nakayama K.
(Injury)
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FC won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Yokohama FC - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 32.01%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.
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Slowik J. (G) 
Iwatake K. 
Lara Y. 
Junker K. 
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