Match Info

ENGLAND: FA CUP - 1/128-FINALS

Date: 14 November 2023, Tuesday


	York City		Chester

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.25
	2.25	3.5	3.1
	2.2	3.3	3.1	Watch
	2.24	3.51	3.19
	2.24	3.51	3.19
	2.05	3.5	2.9
	2.21	3.45	3.13	Watch
	2.05	3.6	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.19)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	3.14 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

York City
43.1%

Draw
27%

Chester
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

26.5%

32.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

York City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for York City than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

York City - Chester Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. York will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Chester will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Stockdale D. (G) 15. Howe C. 5. Cordner T. 37. Smith W. 2. Fallowfield R. 20. Burgess S. 30. Woodyard A. 6. McLaughlin P. 36. Latty-Fairweather T. 9. Akinyemi D. 14. John-Lewis L. N. (C)	1. Stanway W. (G) 5. Burke H. 33. Edwards L. 6. Williams M. 3. Taylor J. 4. Weeks D. 8. Glendon G. (C) 25. Roberts K. 10. Whitehouse E. 23. Coates K. 11. Thomas A.
Substitutes
26. Barrow S. 10. De Castro Q. 4. Duckworth M. 8. Dyson O. 39. Green O. 21. Kennedy K. 11. Kouhyar Q. 23. Siziba Z. 35. Watson R. (G)	9. Caton C. 19. Daly R. 13. Davies B. (G) 14. Evans C. 22. Heywood O. 29. Maguire F. 20. Murray I. 24. Rosenblatt O. 18. Sparrow T.

Preview

Replay (1st match was draw). 1st leg result: 0-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches York won 4.

Recent matches York is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chester is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently York have a series of guest games.

York will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches York won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-6.

Including matches at home between the teams York won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- York City
English National League
11.11.23	Fylde - York City	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Chester - York City	0:0 ✺
English National League
28.10.23	York City - Halifax Town	1:1 ✺
24.10.23	Chesterfield - York City	4:0 ✺
21.10.23	Eastleigh - York City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTTLL
- Chester City
English National League North
11.11.23	Darlington - Chester	3:2 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Chester - York City	0:0 ✺
English National League North
28.10.23	Curzon Ashton - Chester	0:1 ✺
24.10.23	Southport - Chester	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Chester - Scunthorpe United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
04.11.23	Chester - York City	0:0
English National League North
26.04.22	Chester - York City	0:1
23.10.21	York City - Chester	1:0
05.12.20	York City - Chester	2:1
01.02.20	York City - Chester	4:2
26.10.19	Chester - York City	0:1
13.04.19	Chester - York City	2:2

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