Match Info

Super League - Round 29

Date: 8 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadion Wankdorf (Bern)

Where to Watch on TV:


Serbia	Arena Sport 7
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport 1 UHD, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1
World	Sport 1 Baltic


	Young Boys		Thun

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.8	2.85	Watch
	2.35	3.8	2.6
	2.18	3.75	2.82
	2.2	4.06	3
	2.2	4.01	2.86	Watch
	2.1	3.7	2.88
	2.16	3.81	2.91	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.46)	3.85 ↑ (3.8)	2.85 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Young Boys
42.8%

Draw
24.3%

Thun
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

24.3%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

24.8%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Young Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Young Boys's performance.

Thun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Thun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Young Boys than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thun than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	26.7%	13.3%

Young Boys - Thun Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Young Boys will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Thun will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Young Boys: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Young Boys (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Keller M. (G) 22. Valery Y. 5. Wuthrich G. 30. Lauper S. 23. Benito L. (C) 16. Fassnacht C. 37. Gigovic A. 6. Fernandes E. 77. Monteiro J. 10. Sanches A. 99. Essende S.	24. Steffen N. (G) 37. Dahler L. 4. Montolio G. 23. Burki M. (C) 27. Heule M. 7. Imeri K. 6. Bertone L. 16. Roth J. 77. Meichtry F. 96. Labeau B. 74. Rastoder E.
Substitutes
29. Bedia C. 33. Bukinac S. 17. Janko S. 12. Lindner H. (G) 39. Males D. 13. Pech D. 45. Raveloson R. 7. Virginius A. 4. Zoukrou T.	9. Dursun F. 47. Fehr F. 5. Franke D. 18. Ibayi C. 8. Janjicic V. 78. Matoshi V. 70. Reichmuth N. 20. Rupp N. 25. Spycher T. (G)
Coaches
Seoane G.	Lustrinelli M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Sanches A. ⚽,
10', Burki M. 🟨,
28', Fernandes E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Imeri K. ↓, Matoshi V. ↑,
49', Bertone L. (Penalty Awarded),
50', 1 - 1, Matoshi V. ⚽, Meichtry F. (A),
64', Roth J. 🟨,
68', Meichtry F. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
68', Rastoder E. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
73', Labeau B. ↓, Dursun F. ↑,
74', Lauper S. 🟨,
74', Monteiro J. ↓, Males D. ↑,
74', Sanches A. ↓, Virginius A. ↑,
79', Benito L. ↓, Bukinac S. ↑,
79', Essende S. ↓, Bedia C. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Reichmuth N. ⚽, Heule M. (A),
84', Fassnacht C. 🟨,
84', Valery Y. ↓, Pech D. ↑,
85', Roth J. ↓, Rupp N. ↑,
88', Heule M. 🟨,
90+4', Males D. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 4.

Young Boys has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Thun is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Thun may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Thun has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Young Boys: Andrews R. (Muscle Injury) Conte F. (Knee Injury) Hadjam J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Thun: Bamert J. (Yellow Cards) Ziswiler N. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Young Boys won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 53:28. (average 2.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Young Boys won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:15. (average 3.5:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Young Boys	9	5	4	0	31:18	13	19
9	Thun	10	3	1	6	17:27	-10	10

Last Results with these Odds

Young Boys - the odds 2.46 are the expected chance of winning is 37.62%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Young Boys
Swiss Super League
04.03.26	Luzern - Young Boys	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Young Boys - Zürich	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sion - Young Boys	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Young Boys - Winterthur	6:1 ✺
11.02.26	St. Gallen - Young Boys	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWL
- FC Thun
Swiss Super League
05.03.26	Thun - St. Gallen	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Thun - Luzern	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	Winterthur - Thun	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Thun - Sion	1:0 ✺
12.02.26	Thun - Lausanne-Sport	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
25.01.26	Thun - Young Boys	4:1
28.09.25	Young Boys - Thun	4:2
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Young Boys - Thun	4:0
Swiss Cup
28.02.23	Thun - Young Boys	0:5
Club Friendly
14.01.23	Young Boys - Thun	2:0
08.01.22	Young Boys - Thun	6:1
Swiss Super League
08.07.20	Young Boys - Thun	4:0

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