Match Info

Super League - Round 21

Date: 15 August 2025, Friday

Location: Yuxi Plateau Sports Center Stadium (Yuxi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Yunnan Yukun		Wuhan Three Towns

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.9	5	Watch
	2.05	3.6	2.95
	1.62	3.95	4.65	Watch
	1.65	4.18	4.98
	1.73	3.75	4.47	Watch
	2.15	3.5	2.9
	1.64	3.94	4.86	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (2.14)	3.83 ↓ (3.87)	4.26 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yunnan Yukun
53.2%

Draw
24.7%

Wuhan Three Towns
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

24.3%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

24.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yunnan Yukun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yunnan Yukun's performance.

Wuhan Three Towns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wuhan Three Towns might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yunnan Yukun that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wuhan Three Towns than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wuhan Three Towns could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	14.3%	14.3%

Yunnan Yukun - Wuhan Three Towns Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Wuhan Three Towns will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 52.1% – 90.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Yunnan Yukun (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 6 - 75%). Wuhan Three Towns (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ma Zhen (G) 22. Tang Miao 33. Burca A. 4. Li Songyi 16. Zhang Xiangshuo 7. Luo Jing 10. Ionita II A. 14. Nene 8. Ye Chugui 30. Saeter J. 9. Pedro H.	45. Guo Jiayu (G) 2. He Guan 13. Zheng Kaimu 18. Liu Yiming 25. Deng Hanwen 6. Long Wei 10. Darlan 15. Chen Zhechao 8. Wang Jinxian 9. Tudorie A. 22. Shen Zigui
Substitutes
19. Duan Dezhi 31. Geng Xiaofeng (G) 27. Han Zilong 13. Qiu Shengjun (G) 17. Sun Xuelong 29. Yang He 23. Yin Congyao 18. Yi Teng 24. Yu Jianxian (G) 26. Zhang Chenliang 20. Zhang Yufeng 6. Zhao Yuhao	23. Hang Ren 12. Liao Chengjian 43. Memetimin Zikrulla 11. Palacios M. 14. Shao Puliang (G) 28. Wang Denny 61. Wang Kang 1. Wei Minzhe (G) 56. Zhang Zhenyang 29. Zheng Haoqian 30. Zhong Jinbao 16. Zou Z.
Coaches
Andersen J.	Deng Zhuoxiang

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', Long Wei 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Luo Jing ⚽,
41', Zhang Xiangshuo ↓, Zhang Chenliang ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Wang Jinxian ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Li Songyi (Own goal),
60', Long Wei ↓, Zheng Haoqian ↑,
63', Nene 🟨,
67', Shen Zigui ↓, Zhong Jinbao ↑,
70', Luo Jing ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Han Zilong ⚽, Tang Miao (A),
80', Zhong Jinbao 🟨,
81', Li Songyi ↓, Zhao Yuhao ↑,
81', Ye Chugui ↓, Yi Teng ↑,
81', Liu Yiming ↓, Hang Ren ↑,
85', Hang Ren 🟨,
90+3', Pedro H. (Pen),
90+3', Darlan ↓, Zhang Zhenyang ↑,
90+3', Zheng Kaimu ↓, Liao Chengjian ↑,
90+6', Ionita II A. ↓, Zhang Yufeng ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).

In recent matches, Yunnan Yukun has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Wuhan Three Towns is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Wuhan Three Towns has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Taty Maritu O. (Red Card) Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Wuhan Three Towns: Gustavo Sauer (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Burca A. (Inactive) Yi Teng (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Yunnan Yukun won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League
09.08.25	Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun	5:1 ✺
02.08.25	Yunnan Yukun - Shanghai Shenhua	4:4 ✺
26.07.25	Yunnan Yukun - Shenzhen Peng City	3:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
22.07.25	Yunnan Yukun - Guangdong GZ-Power	3:0 ✺
Chinese Super League
18.07.25	Zhejiang Professional - Yunnan Yukun	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTWWL
- Wuhan Three Towns FC
Chinese Super League
10.08.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Meizhou Hakka	1:2 ✺
03.08.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Changchun Yatai	0:0 ✺
27.07.25	Zhejiang Professional - Wuhan Three Towns	3:2 ✺
18.07.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Qingdao West Coast	1:1 ✺
29.06.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Chengdu Rongcheng	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
12.04.25	Wuhan Three Towns - Yunnan Yukun	3:1

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