Match Info

Super League - Round 33

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Letzigrund Stadion (Zürich)

Referee: Wolfensberger S. (Sui)

Where to Watch on TV:


Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4


	Zürich		Lugano

	1	X	2
	3.7	3.9	1.81	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.88
	3.83	4.07	1.91
	3.48	4.01	1.94	Watch
	3.6	3.75	1.85
	3.69	3.89	1.85	Watch
	3.3	3.75	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.23)	3.87 ↑ (3.65)	1.9 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zürich
26.1%

Draw
24.3%

Lugano
49.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

25.4%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

24.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zürich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Lugano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zürich than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lugano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Zürich - Lugano Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zürich will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Lugano will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Huber S. (G) 42. Hack A. 2. Kamberi L. (C) 27. Sauter I. 3. Comenencia L. 23. Berisha V. 15. Palacio N. 44. Walker S. 6. Tsawa C. 19. Keny P. P. 8. Cavaleiro I.	1. Saipi A. (G) 46. Zanotti M. 17. Mai L. 3. Delcroix H. 26. Marques M. 21. Cimignani Y. 8. Grgic A. 25. Bislimi U. 27. Dos Santos D. 11. Steffen R. (C) 9. Koutsias G.
Substitutes
18. Bangoura M. 25. Brecher Y. (G) 14. Di Giusto N. 11. Emmanuel U. 7. Krasniqi B. 9. Perea J. 38. Reichmuth M. 29. Reverson D. 35. Vujevic D.	7. Alioski E. 91. Behrens K. 29. Belhadj M. 10. Bottani M. 4. Kelvin D. 14. Kendouci A. 18. Mahou H. 99. Mina D. (G) 24. Pihlstrom E.
Coaches
Hediger D.	Croci-Torti M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Dos Santos D. 🟨,
44', Mai L. ↓, Kelvin D. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Kelvin D. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Steffen R. ⚽, Koutsias G. (A),
66', Cavaleiro I. ↓, Reverson D. ↑,
68', Walker S. 🟨,
80', Koutsias G. ↓, Behrens K. ↑,
80', Steffen R. ↓, Mahou H. ↑,
80', Comenencia L. ↓, Bangoura M. ↑,
80', Palacio N. ↓, Perea J. ↑,
84', Hack A. ↓, Vujevic D. ↑,
84', Walker S. ↓, Emmanuel U. ↑,
89', Cimignani Y. ↓, Alioski E. ↑,
90', Dos Santos D. ↓, Bottani M. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).

Zürich is Super League (Relegation Group )

Lugano is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 1.

Zürich is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lugano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Lugano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lugano: Behrens K. (Hamstring Injury) Cassano C. (Knee Injury) Papadopoulos A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Zürich: Hodza S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Lugano: Joao Carbone (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zürich won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:21. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zürich won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).

Outrights of Swiss Super League for now

Lugano: 42.18% Zurich: 1.66%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lugano	10	9	1	0	31:7	24	28
4	Zurich	10	4	2	4	18:22	-4	14

Last Results with these Odds

Zürich - the odds 3.23 are the expected chance of winning is 28.74%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Lugano - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.84%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Zürich
Swiss Super League
06.04.26	St. Gallen - Zürich	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Zürich - Thun	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Zürich - Sion	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Servette - Zürich	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Zürich - Lausanne-Sport	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLLL
- FC Lugano
Swiss Super League
04.04.26	Lugano - Thun	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.26	Lugano - Taverne	1:3 ✺
Swiss Super League
22.03.26	Young Boys - Lugano	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	St. Gallen - Lugano	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Lugano - Luzern	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Super League
17.12.25	Zürich - Lugano	0:1
18.10.25	Lugano - Zürich	1:0
02.03.25	Lugano - Zürich	0:3
24.11.24	Lugano - Zürich	4:1
06.10.24	Zürich - Lugano	1:1
20.05.24	Zürich - Lugano	2:1
25.02.24	Lugano - Zürich	2:0

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