Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Ruta de la Plata (Zamora)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Zamora		Real Unión de Irun

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.7	4.75
	1.53	3.7	5.25
	1.61	3.75	5.2
	1.64	3.77	5.24
	1.6	3.74	5.08	Watch
	1.6	3.7	5.33
	1.61	3.75	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (2.03)	3.73 ↑ (3.35)	5.15 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zamora
57.6%

Draw
24.6%

Real Unión de Irun
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

27.3%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

26.5%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zamora's performance.

Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Unión de Irun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Zamora that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Unión de Irun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Zamora - Real Unión de Irun Predictions

Users Predictions: Zamora will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zamora will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sobron F. (G) 23. Campabadal E. 5. Alvarez A. 6. Ramirez J. 3. Nieto S. 15. Lucero R. 14. Kike (C) 4. Claveria P. 18. Macho G. 20. Tresaco R. 17. Roni	13. Wright J. (G) 5. Dominguez J. 4. Olaortua I. 6. Quintana A. 3. Marquez J. 10. Rivero Q. 8. Bilbao I. 16. Vidorreta A. 7. Aranzabe A. 20. Sergio Benito 21. San Bartolome V.
Substitutes
13. Altube D. (G) 19. Bello E. 22. Castaneda J. 12. Frimpong E. 2. Gorjon A. 16. Gutierrez C. 7. Hernandez D. 9. Pito Camacho 21. Priego J. 10. Ramos C. 11. Romero Morillo A.	17. Cayarga B. 22. Garrido D. 26. Ghussein B. 24. Munroe F. 11. Obieta K. 25. Perez C. (G) 2. Santos S. 1. Txusta (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
32', Lucero R. 🟨,
43', Rivero Q. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Ramirez J. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Dominguez J. (Own goal),
69', Macho G. ↓, Priego J. ↑,
69', Lucero R. ↓, Ramos C. ↑,
69', Bilbao I. ↓, Cayarga B. ↑,
69', Dominguez J. ↓, Santos S. ↑,
71', Claveria P. 🟨,
76', Claveria P. ↓, Frimpong E. ↑,
78', Aranzabe A. ↓, Garrido D. ↑,
78', San Bartolome V. ↓, Obieta K. ↑,
87', Kike ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
87', Tresaco R. ↓, Romero Morillo A. ↑,
90', Marquez J. 🟨,
90+7', 🟨,
90+7', 🟥,
90+7', 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Zamora is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Zamora won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Zamora won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zamora CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.05.25	Arenteiro - Zamora	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Zamora - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Amorebieta - Zamora	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Zamora - Ponferradina	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Ourense CF - Zamora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTWLL
- Real Unión de Irun
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.05.25	Real Unión de Irun - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Real Unión de Irun	4:1 ✺
20.04.25	Real Unión de Irun - Barcelona B	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Real Unión de Irun - Lugo	3:0 ✺
06.04.25	Ponferradina - Real Unión de Irun	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.01.25	Real Unión de Irun - Zamora	1:2
10.04.22	Zamora - Real Unión de Irun	0:1
27.11.21	Real Unión de Irun - Zamora	2:0

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