Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finalsDate: 29 May 2026, FridayLocation: Court Simonne-Mathieu (Paris)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Alex De Minaur |
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Jakub Mensik |
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- The best margin for this event is 0.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alex De Minaur
78.3% | Jakub Mensik
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alex De Minaur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alex De Minaur's performance.Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jakub Mensik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex De Minaur than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alex De Minaur that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jakub Mensik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Alex De Minaur - Jakub Mensik Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -2.5 Sets - De Minaur (2.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Alex De Minaur will win
(25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex De Minaur will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. De Minaur (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0 
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Preview
De Minaur is ranked ATP: 7. Mensik is ranked ATP: 27.De Minaur is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).In recent matches, Mensik has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).De Minaur may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, De Minaur is a strong favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Minaur won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
Last Results with these Odds
Alex De Minaur - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 66.15%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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