Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Francisco Comesana		Alex Michelsen

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.25	1.33
	3.29	1.32	Watch
	3.42	1.35
	3.39	1.32	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.53	1.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	1.32 ↑ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Francisco Comesana
27.9%

Alex Michelsen
72.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

73.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Francisco Comesana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francisco Comesana than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Francisco Comesana - Alex Michelsen Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Comesana will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Michelsen will win (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Comesana: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Comesana (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Comesana is ranked ATP: 71. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 33.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Comesana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Michelsen is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Francisco Comesana
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Reilly Opelka - Francisco Comesana	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Luciano Darderi	Darderi L. retired ✺
08.08.25	Francisco Comesana - Jaume Munar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LLW?W
- Alex Michelsen
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Corentin Moutet	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
04.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Alex Michelsen - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
31.07.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alex Michelsen	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWW

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