Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rome 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	04:50	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	15:50	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	21:50	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	20:50	Premier Sport 1
Denmark	20:50	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	21:50	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	20:50	Eurosport 2
Germany	20:50	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top Event
Greece	21:50	COSMOTE Sport 6
Hungary	20:50	Match 4
Netherlands	20:50	Ziggo Sport 4, Ziggo Sport
Poland	20:50	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	19:50	Sport TV6
Romania	21:50	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 5
Sweden	20:50	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis
Ukraine	21:50	Setanta Sports Premium
United Kingdom	19:50	Sky Sports Tennis


	Jannik Sinner		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	1.1	7	Watch
	1.11	6.75	Watch
	1.1	7.2	Watch
	1.1	8.35
	1.11	7.09	Watch
	1.11	6.5	Watch
	1.09	7.2	Watch
	1.1	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.1 ↓ (1.1)	7.16 ↑ (6.17)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
86.7%

Tommy Paul
13.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

84.8%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Tommy Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	0%	15%

Jannik Sinner - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 17 - 85%). Paul will win (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 69.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 2nd Set - Sinner (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Sinner (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Sinner (1.37) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -5.5 Games - Sinner (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jannik Sinner will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinner (votes: 11 - 91.7%). Paul (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Paul is ranked ATP: 12.

Paul is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Sinner is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP Roma
15.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
13.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Francisco Cerundolo	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Jannik Sinner - Mariano Navone	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
26.01.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW
- Tommy Paul
ATP Roma
15.05.25	Hubert Hurkacz - Tommy Paul	0:2 ✺
13.05.25	Tommy Paul - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
12.05.25	Tommy Paul - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
30.04.25	Jack Draper - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
02.09.24	Jannik Sinner - Tommy Paul	3:0
ATP Toronto
12.08.23	Tommy Paul - Jannik Sinner	0:2
ATP Eastbourne
22.06.22	Tommy Paul - Jannik Sinner	2:1
ATP Madrid
02.05.22	Tommy Paul - Jannik Sinner	1:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tommy Paul
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺

Jannik Sinner - Tommy Paul