Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday


	Damir Dzumhur		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.3	3.5	Watch
	1.33	3.65
	1.29	3.49	Watch
	1.33	3.3	Watch
	1.3	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.34)	3.5 ↑ (3.06)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damir Dzumhur
72.8%

Adrian Mannarino
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.5%

30.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damir Dzumhur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Damir Dzumhur - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dzumhur (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Damir Dzumhur will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 87. Mannarino is ranked ATP: 45.

In recent matches, Dzumhur has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mannarino has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mannarino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Dzumhur is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Dzumhur won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Emilio Nava - Damir Dzumhur	Dzumhur D. Retired ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
11.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Vitaliy Sachko	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
07.04.26	Damir Dzumhur - Fabian Marozsan	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 ?LWL?
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Jesper De Jong - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Ignacio Buse - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
13.04.26	Nuno Borges - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
06.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Bucharest
03.04.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Moscow
14.10.19	Adrian Mannarino - Damir Dzumhur	2:0
ATP Zhuhai
27.09.19	Adrian Mannarino - Damir Dzumhur	2:0
ATP Antalya
30.06.18	Adrian Mannarino - Damir Dzumhur	1:2
ATP Winston-Salem
18.08.14	Damir Dzumhur - Adrian Mannarino	0:2

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