Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	01:50	ESPN
Belgium	05:50	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	05:50	HBO Max
Brazil	01:50	ESPN
Bulgaria	06:50	HBO Max
Canada	23:50	RDS App
Colombia	23:50	ESPN
Croatia	05:50	HBO Max
Czech Republic	05:50	HBO Max
Denmark	05:50	HBO Max
Finland	06:50	HBO Max
France	05:50	HBO Max
Hungary	05:50	HBO Max
Mexico	22:50	ESPN
Moldova	06:50	HBO Max
Montenegro	05:50	HBO Max
Netherlands	05:50	HBO Max
North Macedonia	05:50	HBO Max
Norway	05:50	HBO Max
Peru	23:50	ESPN
Poland	05:50	HBO Max
Romania	06:50	HBO Max
Serbia	05:50	HBO Max
Slovenia	05:50	HBO Max
Spain	05:50	HBO Max
Sweden	05:50	HBO Max
United Kingdom	04:50	Discovery+
Usa	23:50	ESPN USA
Venezuela	00:50	ESPN


	Daniel Altmaier		Marin Cilic

	1	2
	2.63	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.51	Watch
	5.25	1.16	Watch
	2.6	1.5
	2.6	1.51	Watch
	2.54	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.3)	1.45 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Altmaier
32.4%

Marin Cilic
67.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Altmaier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Daniel Altmaier's form might have worsened.

Marin Cilic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marin Cilic's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Daniel Altmaier - Marin Cilic Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Altmaier will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Cilic will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cilic: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Altmaier (votes: 2 - 50%). Cilic (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 39.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Altmaier is ranked ATP: 44. Cilic is ranked ATP: 70.

Cilic may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cilic will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniel Altmaier - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 42.36%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Adelaide
12.01.26	Daniel Altmaier - Jaume Munar	0:2 ✺
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	Matteo Arnaldi - Daniel Altmaier	Canceled ✺
ATP Metz
06.11.25	Lorenzo Sonego - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Hugo Gaston - Daniel Altmaier	Gaston H. retired ✺
04.11.25	Daniel Altmaier - Arthur Rinderknech	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 L?L?W
- Marin Cilic
ATP Hong Kong
07.01.26	Marin Cilic - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
05.01.26	Marin Cilic - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.11.25	Marin Cilic - Otto Virtanen	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Marin Cilic - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
03.11.25	Marin Cilic - Benjamin Hassan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Altmaier
ATP Paris
31.10.26	Alex Molcan - Daniel Altmaier	✺

Daniel Altmaier - Marin Cilic