Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 31 October 2026, Saturday 🔴 Live Now

Location: Vienna 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	01:00	beIN Sports 1
Brazil	11:00	ESPN 2
Bulgaria	16:00	Max Sport 1
Czech Republic	15:00	Oneplay, Premier Sport 1
Denmark	15:00	TV2 Play
Finland	16:00	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	15:00	Sky Sport Tennis
Netherlands	15:00	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	15:00	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Romania	16:00	Digi Sport 4
Sweden	15:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Tennis
United Kingdom	14:00	Sky Sports Tennis


	Daniil Medvedev		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.80	1.42
	2.75	1.44
	2.87	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.41
	2.8	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.09)	1.44 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniil Medvedev
33.9%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
66.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.7%

69.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

70.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlos Alcaraz Garfia than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	0%	69.2%

Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Medvedev will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 2 - 100%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

1X2 - Carlos Alcaraz (1.44) (votes: 90%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Medvedev is ranked ATP: 5., and Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Medvedev won 1.

Medvedev is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Alcaraz Garfia shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Medvedev may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Alcaraz Garfia carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Alcaraz Garfia in today's match, at odds of 1.37.

In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Medvedev has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:15 (averaging 1:1.7 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
29.10.26	Cameron Norrie - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
28.10.26	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
ATP Almaty
25.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
24.10.26	Daniil Medvedev - Alexander Bublik	Bublik A. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWW?
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
29.10.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
27.10.26	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
12.10.26	Zizou Bergs - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Indian Wells
14.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev	0:2
ATP Beijing
01.10.24	Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
12.07.24	Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:3
ATP Indian Wells
17.03.24	Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2
ATP World Tour Finals
17.11.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev	2:0
ATP US Open
08.09.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev	1:3
ATP Wimbledon
14.07.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev	3:0

Daniil Medvedev - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia