Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday


	Emilio Nava		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.42	Watch
	2.97	1.44
	2.81	1.41	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.92	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.68)	1.43 (1.43)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Emilio Nava
33.5%

Tomas Machac
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Emilio Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Tomas Machac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emilio Nava than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Emilio Nava - Tomas Machac Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Machac (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tomas Machac will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nava is ranked ATP: 74. Machac is ranked ATP: 48.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Nava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Machac is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Emilio Nava
ATP Challenger
10.03.26	Emilio Nava - Michael Mmoh	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Nuno Borges - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
ATP Santiago
27.02.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Daniel Vallejo - Emilio Nava	0:2 ✺
24.02.26	Emilio Nava - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLLWW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Dubai
23.02.26	Tomas Machac - Denis Shapovalov	Canceled ✺
ATP Doha
16.02.26	Tomas Machac - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Montpellier
04.02.26	Arthur Gea - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
ATP Australian Open
23.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Tomas Machac	3:2 ✺
22.01.26	Tomas Machac - Stefanos Tsitsipas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 ?L?LW

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