Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 May 2025, Thursday


	Flavio Cobolli		Roberto Bautista-Agut

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.62	2.25	Watch
	1.5	2.55	Watch
	1.57	2.56
	1.53	2.48	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.54	2.49	Watch
	1.5	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.53)	2.47 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Flavio Cobolli
61.5%

Roberto Bautista-Agut
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Roberto Bautista-Agut has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Bautista-Agut than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Flavio Cobolli - Roberto Bautista Agut Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Cobolli will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Bautista-Agut will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Cobolli: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Cobolli (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Bautista-Agut (votes: 3 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cobolli is ranked ATP: 35. Bautista-Agut is ranked ATP: 57.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Bautista-Agut may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cobolli could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 61.83%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Flavio Cobolli
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Flavio Cobolli	0:2 ✺
20.05.25	Vitaliy Sachko - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.25	Flavio Cobolli - Daniel Altmaier	0:2 ✺
15.05.25	Flavio Cobolli - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.25	Luca Nardi - Flavio Cobolli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLWL
- Roberto Bautista-Agut
ATP Hamburg
21.05.25	Roberto Bautista-Agut - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Marcos Giron - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Tommy Paul - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Matteo Arnaldi - Roberto Bautista-Agut	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Roberto Bautista-Agut	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWLWL

Flavio Cobolli - Roberto Bautista-Agut: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide