Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Marrakech, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday


	Henrique Rocha		Marco Trungelliti

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.7	2.12	Watch
	1.72	2.24
	1.61	2.25	Watch
	1.67	2.2
	1.69	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.62)	2.19 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Henrique Rocha
56.5%

Marco Trungelliti
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Henrique Rocha has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Marco Trungelliti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henrique Rocha than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Henrique Rocha - Marco Trungelliti Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Rocha will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Trungelliti will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Trungelliti: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rocha is ranked ATP: 133. Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 117.

Recent performances by Rocha have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Trungelliti is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Trungelliti may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Rocha won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Henrique Rocha - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.59%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Henrique Rocha
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Henrique Rocha - David Jorda Sanchis	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
18.03.26	Conner Huertas Del Pino - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Henrique Rocha - Pedro Boscardin Dias	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLW
- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Marrakech
30.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Rei Sakamoto	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Hynek Barton	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Marco Cecchinato	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Zdenek Kolar	2:0 ✺
13.03.26	Marco Trungelliti - Max Houkes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
13.01.26	Henrique Rocha - Marco Trungelliti	1:2
ATP Umag
21.07.24	Marco Trungelliti - Henrique Rocha	2:0

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