Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 14 May 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub 11
Finland	MTV Urheilu 2


	Martin Landaluce		Daniil Medvedev

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.5	1.31	Watch
	3.64	1.35
	3.05	1.4	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.34	1.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.39 ↑ (2.73)	1.34 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Martin Landaluce
28.3%

Daniil Medvedev
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

68.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Martin Landaluce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Martin Landaluce's form might have worsened.

Daniil Medvedev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Daniil Medvedev's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martin Landaluce than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniil Medvedev than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.3%	0%	89.7%

Martin Landaluce - Daniil Medvedev Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Medvedev (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Daniil Medvedev will win (25 of 28 users predict this - 89.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.84% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Landaluce is ranked ATP: 94. Medvedev is ranked ATP: 9.

Landaluce is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Medvedev has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Landaluce may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Medvedev is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Daniil Medvedev - the odds 1.44 are the expected chance of winning is 65.47%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Martin Landaluce
ATP Roma
12.05.26	Hamad Medjedovic - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Mattia Bellucci - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
09.05.26	Marin Cilic - Martin Landaluce	0:2 ✺
05.05.26	Martin Landaluce - Andrea Pellegrino	1:2 ✺
04.05.26	Martin Landaluce - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWLW
- Daniil Medvedev
ATP Roma
12.05.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Daniil Medvedev	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Tomas Machac - Daniil Medvedev	Medvedev D. Walkover ✺
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Daniil Medvedev - Flavio Cobolli	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Daniil Medvedev - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WW?LW

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