Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 March 2026, Sunday


	Jelena Ostapenko		Jasmine Paolini

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.18	1.65
	2.3	1.63	Watch
	2.23	1.74
	2.19	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.28	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.38)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
42.6%

Jasmine Paolini
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

60.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Jasmine Paolini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Jelena Ostapenko - Jasmine Paolini Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Paolini will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Paolini (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 24. Paolini is ranked WTA: 7.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Paolini may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paolini could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ostapenko won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Jasmine Paolini - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.25%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Miami
20.03.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Dayana Yastremska	2:0 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
09.03.26	Jessica Pegula - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Katie Volynets - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
WTA Dubai
16.02.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Anna Kalinskaya	1:2 ✺
WTA Doha
13.02.26	Jelena Ostapenko - Victoria Mboko	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLL
- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Miami
20.03.26	Taylor Townsend - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
WTA Indian Wells
10.03.26	Talia Gibson - Jasmine Paolini	2:1 ✺
08.03.26	Ajla Tomljanovic - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
06.03.26	Anastasia Potapova - Jasmine Paolini	1:2 ✺
WTA Merida
28.02.26	Jasmine Paolini - Cristina Bucsa	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
12.05.25	Jasmine Paolini - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0
WTA Doha
12.02.25	Jelena Ostapenko - Jasmine Paolini	2:0
WTA US Open
28.08.23	Jelena Ostapenko - Jasmine Paolini	2:1

Jelena Ostapenko - Jasmine Paolini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide