Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday


	Joao Fonseca		Elmer Moller

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.36	3.1	Watch
	1.35	3.25	Watch
	1.34	3.48
	1.37	3.07	Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.36	3.17	Watch
	1.35	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.26)	3.18 ↓ (3.95)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
70%

Elmer Moller
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Joao Fonseca's form might have worsened.

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elmer Moller's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.9%	0%	21.1%

Joao Fonseca - Elmer Moller Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Fonseca (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Joao Fonseca will win (15 of 19 users predict this - 78.95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 60.62% – 97.28%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Joao Fonseca will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 9 - 90%). Moller (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 65. Moller is ranked ATP: 114.

Fonseca is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Moller is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Moller could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Fonseca is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Miami
24.03.25	Alex De Minaur - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Joao Fonseca - Ugo Humbert	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Joao Fonseca - Learner Tien	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.25	Alexander Bublik - Joao Fonseca	0:2 ✺
15.03.25	Joao Fonseca - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWWW
- Elmer Moller
ATP Madrid
22.04.25	Kamil Majchrzak - Elmer Moller	1:2 ✺
21.04.25	Elmer Moller - Nishesh Basavareddy	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.04.25	Francisco Comesana - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Elmer Moller - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Remy Bertola - Elmer Moller	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

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