Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 March 2026, Tuesday


	Joao Fonseca		Jannik Sinner

	1	2
	9	1.07	Watch
	8.5	1.06
	9.99	1.09
	9	1.08	Watch
	8	1.06	Watch
	8.55	1.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.84 ↓ (9.57)	1.07 ↑ (1.06)

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
10.8%

Jannik Sinner
89.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.9%

90.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Jannik Sinner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Joao Fonseca - Jannik Sinner Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%). Sinner will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 47.7% – 95.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Sinner (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -5.5 Games - Sinner (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 2 - 50%). Sinner (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 35. Sinner is ranked ATP: 2.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Sinner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sinner is the obvious favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Joao Fonseca - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Karen Khachanov - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Joao Fonseca - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP Rio de Janeiro
19.02.26	Joao Fonseca - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
17.02.26	Joao Fonseca - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWLW
- Jannik Sinner
ATP Indian Wells
08.03.26	Denis Shapovalov - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
06.03.26	Dalibor Svrcina - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Jakub Mensik - Jannik Sinner	2:1 ✺
18.02.26	Alexei Popyrin - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
16.02.26	Tomas Machac - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWLWW

Joao Fonseca - Jannik Sinner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide