Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Munich - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday


	Lorenzo Giustino		Andrea Pellegrino

	1	2
			Watch
	2.03	1.7
	2.1	1.78
	2.02	1.76
	2.1	1.67
	2.02	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.45)	1.72 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Giustino
45.6%

Andrea Pellegrino
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Giustino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorenzo Giustino's performance.

Andrea Pellegrino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Andrea Pellegrino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorenzo Giustino that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Pellegrino than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Andrea Pellegrino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Lorenzo Giustino - Andrea Pellegrino Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Giustino will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Pellegrino will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Giustino is ranked ATP: 209. Pellegrino is ranked ATP: 134.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Pellegrino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Giustino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Lorenzo Giustino - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.97%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Andrea Pellegrino - the odds 1.5 are the expected chance of winning is 62.03%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Giustino
ATP Challenger
03.04.26	Mili Poljicak - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
02.04.26	Laurent Lokoli - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2 ✺
26.03.26	Enrico Dalla Valle - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
24.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Kyrian Jacquet	2:1 ✺
17.03.26	Lorenzo Giustino - Jonas Forejtek	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LWLWL
- Andrea Pellegrino
ATP Monte Carlo
04.04.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Andrea Pellegrino	Pellegrino A. Retired ✺
ATP Marrakech
29.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Timofey Skatov	Pellegrino A. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
25.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Vitaliy Sachko	1:2 ✺
23.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Filip Cristian Jianu	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Andrea Pellegrino - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 ??LWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.05.22	Andrea Pellegrino - Lorenzo Giustino	2:0
10.04.19	Andrea Pellegrino - Lorenzo Giustino	Pellegrino A. retired
18.08.17	Lorenzo Giustino - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0
ITF Tournaments
04.04.17	Andrea Pellegrino - Lorenzo Giustino	0:2

Lorenzo Giustino - Andrea Pellegrino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide