Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 19 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+ App, Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Lorenzo Musetti		Raphael Collignon

	1	2
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.25	4	Watch
	1.23	4.20	Watch
	1.29	3.6
	1.25	4.07	Watch
	1.25	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↑ (1.23)	3.98 ↓ (4.39)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
76%

Raphael Collignon
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.2%

21.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Raphael Collignon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Lorenzo Musetti - Raphael Collignon Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lorenzo Musetti will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 7. Collignon is ranked ATP: 84.

Collignon has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Musetti is seen as the favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Hong Kong
11.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
10.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Andrey Rublev	2:1 ✺
09.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
07.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
13.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWWL
- Raphael Collignon
ATP Adelaide
10.01.26	Andrea Vavassori - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
ATP Brisbane
09.01.26	Raphael Collignon - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
08.01.26	Raphael Collignon - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
05.01.26	Denis Shapovalov - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
03.01.26	Ethan Quinn - Raphael Collignon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LLWWW

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