Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Australian Open, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Rod Laver Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Brazil	ESPN
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Canada	RDS App
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Mexico	ESPN
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Peru	ESPN
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
United-kingdom	Discovery+
Usa	ESPN USA
Venezuela	ESPN


	Lorenzo Musetti		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.1	1.35
	3.4	1.32	Watch
	3.48	1.35
	3.39	1.34	Watch
	3.3	1.33
	3.49	1.33	Watch
	3.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (3.39)	1.33 ↑ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Musetti
28.1%

Novak Djokovic
71.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Lorenzo Musetti have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Novak Djokovic have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Musetti will win (votes: 10 - 33.3%). Djokovic will win (votes: 20 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djokovic: 49.8% – 83.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Musetti (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Djokovic (votes: 8 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 37.5 Games - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 4 Sets - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

#ad

Preview

Musetti is ranked ATP: 5. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 4.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 0.

Musetti is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, Djokovic is seen as the favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Musetti won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 5:19. (average 0.5:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Australian Open
25.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Harry Fritz	3:0 ✺
23.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Tomas Machac	3:2 ✺
21.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Lorenzo Sonego	3:0 ✺
19.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Raphael Collignon	Collignon R. retired ✺
ATP Hong Kong
11.01.26	Lorenzo Musetti - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWW?L
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Australian Open
26.01.26	Jakub Mensik - Novak Djokovic	Djokovic N. walkover ✺
24.01.26	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
19.01.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
ATP World Tour Finals
11.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Novak Djokovic	N/A
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 ?WWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Athens
08.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:1
ATP Miami
25.03.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic	0:2
ATP Olympic Games
02.08.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
12.07.24	Lorenzo Musetti - Novak Djokovic	0:3
ATP Roland Garros
01.06.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	3:2
ATP Monte Carlo
11.04.24	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
13.04.23	Novak Djokovic - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2

Upcoming Matches