Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Mariano Navone		Valentin Vacherot

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.8	1.42	Watch
	2.75	1.45	Watch
	2.8	1.49
	2.67	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.84	1.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↓ (2.97)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
34.4%

Valentin Vacherot
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

67.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

67.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Mariano Navone - Valentin Vacherot Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Navone will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Vacherot will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vacherot: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vacherot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 61. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 25.

Navone has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Vacherot has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Vacherot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vacherot is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Alexander Blockx - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Mariano Navone - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Mariano Navone - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WWWWW
- Valentin Vacherot
ATP Indian Wells
09.03.26	Valentin Vacherot - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
07.03.26	Valentin Vacherot - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
ATP Acapulco
26.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
25.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Gael Monfils	2:0 ✺
23.02.26	Valentin Vacherot - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWLWW

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