Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Lorenzo Sonego		Pierre-Hugues Herbert

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.7
	1.54	2.7
	1.52	2.54	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.53	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.34)	2.65 ↓ (2.88)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
63.7%

Pierre-Hugues Herbert
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Pierre-Hugues Herbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Sonego than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lorenzo Sonego, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pierre-Hugues Herbert than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pierre-Hugues Herbert, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Lorenzo Sonego - Pierre Hugues Herbert Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Herbert will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sonego: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sonego (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 69. Herbert is ranked ATP: 223.

Sonego is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Herbert has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Herbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sonego could have a small edge in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Geneva
18.05.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Andrey Rublev	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Pierre-Hugues Herbert
ATP Roland Garros
22.05.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Leandro Riedi	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Jan Choinski - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	Herbert P. Walkover ✺
19.05.26	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Kaichi Uchida	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.05.26	Sumit Nagal - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Zizou Bergs - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 W?WLL

Lorenzo Sonego - Pierre-Hugues Herbert: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide