Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 27 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	HBO Max


	Lorenzo Sonego		Tommy Paul

	1	2
	5.5	1.14	Watch
	5.6	1.14
	7	1.15
	5.34	1.15	Watch
	6.5	1.11
	6.22	1.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.03 ↑ (5.96)	1.14 ↓ (1.15)

The best margin for this event is 1.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Sonego
15.9%

Tommy Paul
84.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

83.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Sonego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Tommy Paul has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Lorenzo Sonego - Tommy Paul Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sonego will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Paul will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paul: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Sonego is ranked ATP: 70. Paul is ranked ATP: 21.

Sonego is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paul is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Sonego may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Paul is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sonego won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Sonego
ATP Roland Garros
24.05.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	3:2 ✺
ATP Geneva
18.05.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Edas Butvilas	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Ignacio Buse	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
29.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Mattia Bellucci	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
22.04.26	Lorenzo Sonego - Dusan Lajovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLLLL
- Tommy Paul
ATP Roland Garros
25.05.26	Rinky Hijikata - Tommy Paul	1:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
23.05.26	Ignacio Buse - Tommy Paul	2:1 ✺
22.05.26	Alex De Minaur - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
21.05.26	Tommy Paul - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Tommy Paul - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP US Open
27.08.24	Lorenzo Sonego - Tommy Paul	1:3
ATP Cincinnati
18.08.21	Tommy Paul - Lorenzo Sonego	0:2
ATP Rotterdam
03.03.21	Tommy Paul - Lorenzo Sonego	2:0
ITF Tournaments
30.05.15	Lorenzo Sonego - Tommy Paul	0:2

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