Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 7, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 8 October 2025, Wednesday


	Lui Maxted		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.13	1.66
	2.10	1.62	Watch
	2.09	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.73)	1.65 ↓ (2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lui Maxted
44%

Lorenzo Carboni
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lui Maxted has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lui Maxted's form might have worsened.

Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lorenzo Carboni's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lui Maxted than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lui Maxted, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lorenzo Carboni, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lui Maxted - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Maxted is ranked ATP: 810. Carboni is ranked ATP: 450.

Maxted is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Carboni has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Maxted may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lui Maxted
ATP Challenger
28.09.25	Jelle Sels - Lui Maxted	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
17.09.25	Ryan Peniston - Lui Maxted	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Filippo Moroni - Lui Maxted	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
30.08.25	Lui Maxted - Jorge Plans	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Lui Maxted - Toufik Sahtali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLW
- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
30.09.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Oliver Crawford	0:2 ✺
29.09.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Alejandro Manzanera Pertusa	2:1 ✺
28.09.25	Lorenzo Carboni - John Echeverria	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Luka Mikrut - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Iannis Miletich	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW

Lui Maxted - Lorenzo Carboni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide