Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday


	Mackenzie McDonald		Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.6	1.48	Watch
	2.75	1.46	Watch
	2.81	1.48
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.74	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.71)	1.46 ↓ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mackenzie McDonald
34.7%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

64.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Davidovich Fokina than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Mackenzie McDonald - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. McDonald will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Davidovich Fokina will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Davidovich Fokina: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

McDonald is ranked ATP: 109. Davidovich Fokina is ranked ATP: 39.

Instantly two players are in a excellent shape.

Davidovich Fokina will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Davidovich Fokina to win the game is with odds 1.45.

Last 3 head-to-head matches McDonald won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:6 (average 0.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
02.03.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1 ✺
01.03.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Trevor Svajda - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
26.02.25	Matteo Gigante - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
24.02.25	Karue Sell - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWWW
- Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
ATP Acapulco
01.03.25	Tomas Machac - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:0 ✺
28.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
27.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Francis Tiafoe - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
25.02.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Delray Beach
13.02.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2
ATP Toronto
11.08.23	Mackenzie McDonald - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2
ATP Stockholm
07.11.21	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Mackenzie McDonald	2:1

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