Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday


	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera		Luciano Darderi

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
	3.35	1.27	Watch
	3.34	1.37
	3.35	1.31	Watch
	3.3	1.33	Watch
	3.53	1.31	Watch
	4.2	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.51 ↑ (2.9)	1.3 ↓ (1.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
27%

Luciano Darderi
73%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

67.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera's form might have worsened.

Luciano Darderi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luciano Darderi's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luciano Darderi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Luciano Darderi Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Darderi (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Luciano Darderi will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luciano Darderi will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Darderi (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Barrios Vera is ranked ATP: 114. Darderi is ranked ATP: 22.

Barrios Vera is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Darderi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Barrios Vera may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Darderi is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barrios Vera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Thiago Seyboth Wild	Seyboth Wild T. retired ✺
09.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Christian Garin	Canceled ✺
Davis Cup World Group
07.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Ognjen Milic	Canceled ✺
06.02.26	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Dusan Lajovic	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
31.01.26	Daniel Vallejo - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ???WL
- Luciano Darderi
ATP Australian Open
26.01.26	Luciano Darderi - Jannik Sinner	0:3 ✺
23.01.26	Karen Khachanov - Luciano Darderi	1:3 ✺
21.01.26	Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi	1:3 ✺
19.01.26	Christian Garin - Luciano Darderi	0:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
14.01.26	Luciano Darderi - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Cordoba
06.02.24	Luciano Darderi - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:1
ATP Challenger
18.10.23	Luciano Darderi - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	1:2

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Luciano Darderi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide