Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	Marco Trungelliti		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.1	1.36
	3.3	1.32	Watch
	3.9	1.32
	3.25	1.32	Watch
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	3.28	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (3.09)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marco Trungelliti
28.3%

Mariano Navone
71.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

69.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

68.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marco Trungelliti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marco Trungelliti than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Marco Trungelliti - Mariano Navone Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Trungelliti will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Navone will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trungelliti (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Trungelliti is ranked ATP: 78. Navone is ranked ATP: 44.

Trungelliti has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Navone's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Navone may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Navone is a strong favorite.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marco Trungelliti
ATP Roma
06.05.26	Marco Trungelliti - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
23.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Merida Aguilar	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Daniel Merida Aguilar	0:2 ✺
20.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Borna Gojo	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
13.04.26	Marco Trungelliti - Hamad Medjedovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Roma
11.05.26	Mariano Navone - Hamad Medjedovic	1:2 ✺
09.05.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
07.05.26	Denis Shapovalov - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.04.26	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Mariano Navone - Alexander Zverev	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWWLL

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