Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana, hard - Final

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Mattia Bellucci		Mariano Navone

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
			Watch
	1.46	2.55	Watch
	1.53	2.66
	1.47	2.53	Watch
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.47	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.46)	2.56 ↑ (2.53)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Mattia Bellucci
63.4%

Mariano Navone
36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Mattia Bellucci have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Mariano Navone have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mattia Bellucci than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mattia Bellucci that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mariano Navone could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mattia Bellucci - Mariano Navone Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Navone (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Mattia Bellucci will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mattia Bellucci will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Bellucci (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Navone (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Bellucci is ranked ATP: 94. Navone is ranked ATP: 79.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Bellucci is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Mattia Bellucci - the odds 1.46 are the expected chance of winning is 63.41%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mattia Bellucci
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Adam Walton - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
13.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
10.03.26	Francesco Maestrelli - Mattia Bellucci	0:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Mattia Bellucci - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWL
- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
14.03.26	Alexander Blockx - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Mariano Navone - Valentin Royer	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Mariano Navone - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Mariano Navone - Nick Hardt	2:1 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
04.03.26	Mariano Navone - Marcos Giron	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWWL

Upcoming Matches