Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 April 2025, Tuesday


	Jack Draper		Matteo Berrettini

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.52	2.45	Watch
	1.6	2.5
	1.6	2.3	Watch
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.59	2.37	Watch
	1.52	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.56)	2.41 ↓ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
60.7%

Matteo Berrettini
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

36.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Matteo Berrettini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Berrettini than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.1%	0%	28.9%

Jack Draper - Matteo Berrettini Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 32 - 71.1%). Berrettini will win (votes: 13 - 28.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Draper: 57.9% – 84.3%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 22.5 Games - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

AH -2.5 Games - Draper (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jack Draper will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Draper (votes: 16 - 84.2%). Berrettini (votes: 3 - 15.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draper is ranked ATP: 6. Berrettini is ranked ATP: 31.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

In this match Draper is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Draper won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Jack Draper - Tallon Griekspoor	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Jack Draper - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Jack Draper - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.25	Jakub Mensik - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
16.03.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLW
- Matteo Berrettini
ATP Madrid
26.04.25	Marcos Giron - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
10.04.25	Matteo Berrettini - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
08.04.25	Alexander Zverev - Matteo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
07.04.25	Mariano Navone - Matteo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
27.03.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Matteo Berrettini	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
20.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jack Draper	1:2
ATP Stuttgart
16.06.24	Jack Draper - Matteo Berrettini	2:1

Jack Draper - Matteo Berrettini: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide