Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Delray Beach, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 20 February 2026, Friday


	Sebastian Korda		Casper Ruud

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.79	1.99	Watch
	1.87	2.04
	1.89	1.91	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.82	1.98	Watch
	1.71	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (2.2)	2.01 ↑ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Korda
52.7%

Casper Ruud
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

56.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

56.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Korda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sebastian Korda's performance.

Casper Ruud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casper Ruud might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Korda than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sebastian Korda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casper Ruud than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casper Ruud could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55%	0%	45%

Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Korda will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Ruud will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Korda: 35.7% – 80.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Korda (votes: 3 - 60%). Ruud (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Korda is ranked ATP: 50. Ruud is ranked ATP: 13.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Ruud may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Korda won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Casper Ruud - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 56.85%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Korda
ATP Delray Beach
18.02.26	Alex Michelsen - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
17.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Mackenzie McDonald	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
13.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Sebastian Korda	2:1 ✺
11.02.26	Sebastian Korda - Francis Tiafoe	2:0 ✺
09.02.26	Michael Zheng - Sebastian Korda	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWLWW
- Casper Ruud
ATP Delray Beach
18.02.26	Marcos Giron - Casper Ruud	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
26.01.26	Ben Shelton - Casper Ruud	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Marin Cilic - Casper Ruud	1:3 ✺
22.01.26	Jaume Munar - Casper Ruud	0:3 ✺
19.01.26	Mattia Bellucci - Casper Ruud	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Stockholm
17.10.25	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	1:2
ATP Madrid
27.04.25	Sebastian Korda - Casper Ruud	0:2
ATP Montreal
10.08.24	Casper Ruud - Sebastian Korda	Korda S. walkover

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