Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Tomas Martin Etcheverry		Arthur Fils

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
			Watch
	3.55	1.3
	3.6	1.34
	3.55	1.32	Watch
	3.5	1.3
	3.39	1.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↓ (3.91)	1.32 ↑ (1.27)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
27.2%

Arthur Fils
72.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.5%

75.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Arthur Fils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.7%	0%	53.3%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Arthur Fils Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Etcheverry will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). Fils will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fils: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Fils (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Etcheverry is ranked ATP: 29. Fils is ranked ATP: 25.

Etcheverry has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fils is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Etcheverry may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fils is considered a favorite.

We predict that Fils will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Etcheverry won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Dino Prizmic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
24.04.26	Sebastian Ofner - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.26	Nuno Borges - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
13.04.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jack Draper	Draper J. Retired ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWL?L
- Arthur Fils
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Arthur Fils - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Arthur Fils - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
17.04.26	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
27.04.22	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Arthur Fils	Fils A. retired

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