Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 7 May 2025, Wednesday


	Vilius Gaubas		Damir Dzumhur

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.85	1.91	Watch
	1.88	1.93	Watch
	1.92	1.96
	1.81	1.98	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.87	1.93	Watch
	1.88	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2)	1.94 ↑ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
51%

Damir Dzumhur
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6%

55.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilius Gaubas's performance.

Damir Dzumhur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Damir Dzumhur might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilius Gaubas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Damir Dzumhur than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Damir Dzumhur could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.1%	0%	21.9%

Vilius Gaubas - Damir Dzumhur Predictions

Users Predictions: Vilius Gaubas will win (25 of 30 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.99% – 96.67%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vilius Gaubas will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 154. Dzumhur is ranked ATP: 69.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Gaubas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.8%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Damir Dzumhur - the odds 1.69 are the expected chance of winning is 54.2%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Roma
06.05.25	Hugo Dellien - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Vilius Gaubas - Eliot Spizzirri	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Christian Garin - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
29.04.25	Jakub Paul - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Matteo Gigante	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Damir Dzumhur
ATP Madrid
28.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
26.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Damir Dzumhur	1:2 ✺
24.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
15.04.25	Sebastian Baez - Damir Dzumhur	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Damir Dzumhur - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWWLL

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