The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hawthorn Hawks 72.2%
Collingwood Magpies 27.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
70.2%
29.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
73.3%
26.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hawthorn Hawks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Collingwood Magpies has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hawthorn Hawks than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collingwood Magpies than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Hawthorn Hawks - Collingwood Magpies Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Hawthorn will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Collingwood will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:77
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Key Events of the Match
1st Quarter (15 - 15)
01:19, Gunston J. (Behind),
04:20, Newcombe J. (G),
06:30, Lewis M. (Behind),
07:19, West C. (G),
08:43, Allan E. (G),
11:13, Meek L. (G),
15:00, Beattie M. (Behind),
17:13, Membrey T. (Behind),
18:57, (Behind Rushed),
21:26, Membrey T. (Behind),
2nd Quarter (10 - 32)
03:32, Moore D. (Behind),
06:46, Chol M. (G),
09:51, Daicos N. (G),
11:14, Anderson A. (G),
15:58, West C. (G),
19:53, Impey J. (Behind),
20:32, McCreery B. (G),
21:50, Gunston J. (Behind),
22:26, (Behind Rushed),
23:48, Steele R. (G),
27:36, McCreery B. (Behind),
28:11, Steele R. (Behind),
3rd Quarter (35 - 10)
00:32, Sicily J. (Behind),
05:33, Gunston J. (G),
07:06, Macdonald C. (Behind),
07:51, Macdonald C. (G),
09:54, Mackenzie C. (G),
11:45, D'Ambrosio M. (Behind),
12:52, Gunston J. (G),
14:59, Lewis M. (G),
16:39, West C. (Behind),
22:25, Lewis M. (Behind),
24:05, Long N. (Behind),
25:14, (Behind Rushed),
26:15, Hayes W. (G),
29:20, Schultz L. (Behind),
31:29, Gunston J. (Behind),
4th Quarter (32 - 35)
00:18, Ward J. (G),
02:16, Ward J. (G),
04:24, Lewis M. (G),
06:57, McStay D. (G),
07:59, Daicos N. (Behind),
09:23, Houston D. (G),
10:56, McStay D. (G),
13:07, Hayes W. (G),
14:13, McCreery B. (Behind),
15:31, Moore D. (Behind),
19:02, Beattie M. (G),
21:05, Moore D. (G),
24:41, Houston D. (Behind),
25:59, Houston D. (Behind),
28:41, Steele R. (G),
30:10, Gunston J. (Behind),
33:36, Steele R. (Behind),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 2.
Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
Hawthorn may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Hawthorn is considered a favorite.
We predict that Hawthorn will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hawthorn won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 1859:1636. (average 93:81.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Hawthorn won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1245:947. (average 103.8:78.9).
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