Match Info
AFL - Round 14Date: 14 June 2025, SaturdayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
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Essendon Bombers |
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Geelong Cats |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
6.5 |
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1.13 |
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 |
4.93 |
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1.13 |
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 |
4.45 |
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1.19 |
 Watch |
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5 |
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1.14 |
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 |
5.5 |
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1.14 |
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 |
4.93 |
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1.13 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.22 ↑
(4.31) |
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1.14 ↓
(1.21) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 168.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-31)
- The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Essendon Bombers
18% | Geelong Cats
82% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Essendon Bombers - Geelong Cats Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Geelong (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 69:100 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (16 - 39)
- 01:58, (Behind Rushed),
- 03:21, Mannagh S. (G),
- 04:51, Gresham J. (G),
- 07:07, Wright P. (Behind),
- 07:30, Martin N. (Behind),
- 11:26, Cameron J. (G),
- 15:17, Cameron J. (G),
- 16:37, Mannagh S. (G),
- 17:57, Guelfi M. (G),
- 20:09, Caddy N. (Behind),
- 21:50, Stengle T. (Behind),
- 23:07, O'Connor M. (Behind),
- 24:20, Neale S. (G),
- 26:13, Neale S. (G),
- 28:18, Gresham J. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (9 - 21)
- 00:25, Day Wicks A. (Behind),
- 01:31, Cameron J. (G),
- 03:55, Cameron J. (G),
- 11:38, Dempsey O. (Behind),
- 13:51, Guelfi M. (Behind),
- 18:33, (Behind Rushed),
- 19:42, Close B. (G),
- 24:44, May A. (Behind),
- 26:10, Guelfi M. (G),
- 29:43, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (30 - 44)
- 01:14, Wright P. (G),
- 03:09, Holmes M. (G),
- 05:40, Duursma X. (G),
- 10:08, Cameron J. (G),
- 11:22, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 13:27, Mannagh S. (Behind),
- 15:55, Cameron J. (Behind),
- 16:56, Humphries L. (G),
- 20:37, Neale S. (G),
- 24:38, Roberts A. (G),
- 27:15, Dangerfield P. (G),
- 29:29, Kako I. (G),
- 31:16, Wright P. (G),
- 33:06, Stengle T. (G),
- 4th Quarter (1 - 47)
- 01:19, Duursma X. (Behind),
- 03:50, Neale S. (Behind),
- 07:32, Stengle T. (Behind),
- 08:10, Miers G. (G),
- 11:48, Neale S. (G),
- 13:58, Dempsey O. (G),
- 15:18, Cameron J. (G),
- 17:58, Miers G. (Behind),
- 18:48, Mannagh S. (G),
- 22:13, Stanley R. (G),
- 26:14, Stanley R. (Behind),
- 27:15, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:31, Dempsey O. (G),
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 1.Essendon has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).Geelong is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).Essendon may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. In this match, Geelong is the clear favorite.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Essendon won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 1367:1963. (average 68.4:98.2).Including home matches between the teams, Essendon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 417:580. (average 69.5:96.7).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AAMI Community Series | | | 25.02.25 | Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers | 83:104 | | AFL | | | 29.06.24 | Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers | 105:60 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 01.03.24 | Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers | 83:71 | | AFL | | | 15.07.23 | Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers | 122:45 | | 29.04.23 | Essendon Bombers - Geelong Cats | 104:132 | | 18.03.22 | Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers | 138:72 | | 02.07.21 | Geelong Cats - Essendon Bombers | 98:57 |
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