Match Info
AFL - Round 13Date: 8 June 2025, SundayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network |
 Germany | Sportdigital+ |
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Carlton Blues |
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Essendon Bombers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.45 |
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2.85 |
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 |
1.41 |
|
2.64 |
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 |
1.44 |
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2.7 |
 Watch |
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1.4 |
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2.75 |
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 |
1.41 |
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2.87 |
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 |
1.45 |
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2.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↓
(1.46) |
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2.76 ↑
(2.68) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 148.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-14)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Carlton Blues
65.9% | Essendon Bombers
34.1% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Carlton Blues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Essendon Bombers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Essendon Bombers than the current prediction. (-1.8%)Carlton Blues - Essendon Bombers Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +16.5 Points, OT - Essendon (1.77) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Essendon (votes: 2 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:67 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (40 - 7)
- 01:25, Saad A. (G),
- 05:49, De Koning T. (Behind),
- 07:28, Curnow C. (G),
- 09:53, Motlop J. (G),
- 10:57, Walsh S. (Behind),
- 11:21, Williams Z. (Behind),
- 14:28, McGovern M. (G),
- 19:01, Curnow C. (Behind),
- 21:28, Lual L. (G),
- 24:56, Curnow C. (G),
- 27:27, Williams Z. (G),
- 30:48, Clarke A. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (14 - 19)
- 06:53, Guelfi M. (Behind),
- 10:45, Fantasia O. (G),
- 15:32, Caldwell J. (G),
- 17:29, Perkins A. (G),
- 23:44, Motlop J. (Behind),
- 24:48, Cripps P. (Behind),
- 30:18, De Koning T. (G),
- 32:39, Wright P. (G),
- 3rd Quarter (8 - 25)
- 00:29, Guelfi M. (G),
- 05:47, (Behind Rushed),
- 07:31, Wright P. (G),
- 11:27, Wright P. (G),
- 18:09, Curnow C. (Behind),
- 25:23, Motlop J. (G),
- 26:58, Gresham J. (G),
- 30:50, McGovern M. (Behind),
- 4th Quarter (16 - 19)
- 01:22, Acres B. (G),
- 04:27, O'Keeffe H. (Behind),
- 10:00, Gresham J. (Behind),
- 11:15, Williams Z. (G),
- 15:05, Gresham J. (G),
- 17:27, Motlop J. (Behind),
- 18:52, Martin N. (G),
- 22:53, Duursma X. (G),
- 25:10, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:01, Acres B. (Behind),
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 and 10).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 4.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Essendon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Carlton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Carlton won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 1225:1393. (average 64.5:73.3).Including home matches between the teams, Carlton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 557:635. (average 61.9:70.6).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 09.06.24 | Essendon Bombers - Carlton Blues | 70:96 | | 11.06.23 | Carlton Blues - Essendon Bombers | 52:86 | | 10.06.22 | Essendon Bombers - Carlton Blues | 54:80 | | 02.05.21 | Essendon Bombers - Carlton Blues | 107:123 | | 27.06.20 | Essendon Bombers - Carlton Blues | 51:52 | | 02.06.19 | Essendon Bombers - Carlton Blues | 74:33 | | 12.05.18 | Carlton Blues - Essendon Bombers | 91:78 |
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