Match Info

AFL - Round 21

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: GMHBA Stadium (Geelong)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	AFL, Fox Sports 503
United-kingdom	TNT Sports 1


	Geelong Cats		Port Adelaide Power

	1	2
	1.03	15
	1.02	8.6
			Watch
	1.04	10
	1.02	12
	1.01	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.02 ↓ (1.16)	11.02 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-60)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Geelong Cats
91.5%

Port Adelaide Power
8.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

81.2%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Geelong Cats has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Geelong Cats's performance.

Port Adelaide Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Port Adelaide Power might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Geelong Cats - Port Adelaide Power Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Geelong will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Port Adelaide will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 119:59

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Quarter (23 - 23)
01:10, (Behind Rushed),
02:39, Holmes M. (G),
04:36, Sweet J. (Behind),
07:33, O'Connor M. (Behind),
08:27, (Behind Rushed),
10:36, Dangerfield P. (G),
14:24, Berry J. (G),
15:57, Stengle T. (Behind),
16:36, Stengle T. (Behind),
19:04, Lord O. (Behind),
21:35, Lord O. (G),
22:39, McEntee J. (Behind),
23:58, Stengle T. (Behind),
25:15, Cameron J. (G),
26:52, Georgiades M. (Behind),
28:23, Lorenz W. (G),
2nd Quarter (36 - 6)
03:50, Cameron J. (G),
06:28, Bowes J. (G),
08:23, Mannagh S. (Behind),
09:35, Mannagh S. (Behind),
14:41, Boak T. (G),
17:18, Cameron J. (Behind),
19:24, Close B. (Behind),
20:08, Miers G. (Behind),
20:46, Miers G. (G),
24:51, Cameron J. (G),
27:38, Mullin O. (Behind),
31:50, Cameron J. (G),
3rd Quarter (57 - 8)
00:47, Neale S. (G),
03:14, McEntee J. (Behind),
05:30, Neale S. (G),
07:24, Close B. (Behind),
08:47, Dangerfield P. (Behind),
10:13, Close B. (G),
12:04, Georgiades M. (G),
13:52, Neale S. (Behind),
15:24, Georgiades M. (Behind),
16:53, Neale S. (G),
19:32, Martin J. (G),
20:47, Martin J. (G),
22:37, Martin J. (G),
24:48, Martin J. (G),
28:30, Holmes M. (G),
4th Quarter (37 - 28)
02:12, Drew W. (Behind),
04:59, Georgiades M. (G),
07:08, Georgiades M. (G),
09:19, Sweet J. (Behind),
10:16, Cameron J. (G),
13:14, Mannagh S. (Behind),
13:53, Richards J. (Behind),
14:34, Stengle T. (G),
16:09, McEntee J. (G),
18:05, Bowes J. (G),
21:22, (Behind Rushed),
23:37, Stengle T. (G),
25:10, Dempsey O. (G),
28:03, Lord O. (G),
29:38, Cameron J. (G),

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Geelong may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Geelong is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Geelong won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1821:1479. (average 91.1:74).

Including home matches between the teams, Geelong won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 671:527. (average 95.9:75.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Geelong Cats
AFL
26.07.25	North Melbourne Kangaroos - Geelong Cats	49:150 ✺
19.07.25	Geelong Cats - St Kilda Saints	113:82 ✺
12.07.25	Greater Western Sydney Giants - Geelong Cats	111:85 ✺
05.07.25	Geelong Cats - Richmond Tigers	124:52 ✺
20.06.25	Geelong Cats - Brisbane Lions	51:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WWLWL
- Port Adelaide Power
AFL
26.07.25	Adelaide Crows - Port Adelaide Power	133:35 ✺
18.07.25	Hawthorn Hawks - Port Adelaide Power	87:49 ✺
13.07.25	Port Adelaide Power - West Coast Eagles	87:61 ✺
05.07.25	Brisbane Lions - Port Adelaide Power	120:92 ✺
26.06.25	Port Adelaide Power - Carlton Blues	110:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

AFL
17.05.25	Port Adelaide Power - Geelong Cats	39:115
05.09.24	Port Adelaide Power - Geelong Cats	54:138
10.05.24	Geelong Cats - Port Adelaide Power	95:101
05.08.23	Geelong Cats - Port Adelaide Power	97:85
15.06.23	Port Adelaide Power - Geelong Cats	110:72
23.07.22	Port Adelaide Power - Geelong Cats	94:106
20.05.22	Geelong Cats - Port Adelaide Power	82:47

Geelong Cats - Port Adelaide Power: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide