Match Info
AFL - Round 12Date: 30 May 2025, FridayLocation: People First Stadium (Gold Coast)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AFL, Fox Footy |
 United-kingdom | TNT Sports 2 |
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Gold Coast Suns |
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Fremantle Dockers |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.38 |
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3.2 |
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 |
1.37 |
|
2.79 |
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 |
1.4 |
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2.85 |
 Watch |
 |
1.36 |
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3 |
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 |
1.35 |
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3.04 |
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 |
1.37 |
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2.79 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.37 ↓
(1.42) |
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2.95 ↑
(2.85) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 155.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-17)
- The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Gold Coast Suns
68.2% | Fremantle Dockers
31.8% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Gold Coast Suns has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Fremantle Dockers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gold Coast Suns than the current prediction. (-3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fremantle Dockers than the current prediction. (+3%)Gold Coast Suns - Fremantle Dockers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:70 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (13 - 33)
- 02:03, Frederick M. (G),
- 04:11, Voss P. (G),
- 08:31, Walter J. (G),
- 10:28, Uwland B. (G),
- 12:34, Wagner C. (G),
- 21:10, King B. (Behind),
- 24:18, Switkowski S. (G),
- 26:21, Wagner C. (Behind),
- 29:56, Bolton S. (Behind),
- 30:36, Voss P. (G),
- 32:29, Serong C. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (22 - 8)
- 02:23, Long B. (Behind),
- 09:27, Long B. (G),
- 11:14, Long B. (Behind),
- 13:34, (Behind Rushed),
- 18:18, Lombard L. (G),
- 20:37, King B. (G),
- 23:44, Bolton S. (G),
- 25:35, (Behind Rushed),
- 28:17, Voss P. (Behind),
- 30:19, Flanders S. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (14 - 21)
- 04:24, Walter J. (G),
- 05:21, Bolton S. (Behind),
- 06:39, Miller T. (Behind),
- 07:51, Long B. (Behind),
- 19:45, Brayshaw A. (G),
- 22:25, Flanders S. (G),
- 23:39, Bolton S. (G),
- 27:08, (Behind Rushed),
- 29:40, (Behind Rushed),
- 30:42, Voss P. (G),
- 4th Quarter (15 - 13)
- 01:10, Frederick M. (Behind),
- 08:31, Bolton S. (G),
- 11:17, (Behind Rushed),
- 14:23, Anderson N. (Behind),
- 18:28, Flanders S. (G),
- 21:09, Flanders S. (G),
- 22:55, Andrew M. (Behind),
- 28:32, Amiss J. (G),
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFL (Play Offs: ) and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 2.Gold Coast is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Fremantle has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Fremantle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Gold Coast is the team to beat.We predict that Gold Coast will win today's game, with odds of 1.4.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Gold Coast won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 903:1009. (average 64.5:72.1).Including home matches between the teams, Gold Coast won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 467:471. (average 58.4:58.9).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 23.06.24 | Fremantle Dockers - Gold Coast Suns | 85:65 | | 14.04.23 | Fremantle Dockers - Gold Coast Suns | 100:90 | | 14.05.22 | Gold Coast Suns - Fremantle Dockers | 69:33 | | 12.06.21 | Fremantle Dockers - Gold Coast Suns | 76:49 | | 27.06.20 | Gold Coast Suns - Fremantle Dockers | 64:51 | | 31.03.19 | Gold Coast Suns - Fremantle Dockers | 61:58 | | 07.04.18 | Gold Coast Suns - Fremantle Dockers | 68:96 |
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