Match Info
AFL - Round 9Date: 9 May 2025, FridayLocation: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Melbourne)Where to Watch on TV: | |
|---|
Africa | SupeSport ESPN 1 |
Australia | AFL, Fox Footy, Seven Network |
Germany | Sportdigital+ |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 3 |
United-kingdom | TNT Sports 4 |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
St Kilda Saints |
|
Carlton Blues |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.45 |
|
1.58 |
|
 |
2.27 |
|
1.55 |
|
 |
|
|
|
Watch |
 |
2.25 |
|
1.6 |
|
 |
2.41 |
|
1.53 |
Watch |
 |
2.27 |
|
1.55 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.33 ↓ (2.71) |
|
1.56 ↑ (1.48) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 162.00
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)
- The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
St Kilda Saints 40.1% | Carlton Blues 59.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Kilda Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Carlton Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Kilda Saints than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlton Blues than the current prediction. (+2.4%) bannerPredictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. St Kilda will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Carlton will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:86 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Quarter (24 - 27)
- 05:15, Higgins J. (G),
- 07:08, Hall M. (G),
- 08:51, McKay H. (G),
- 11:27, (Behind Rushed),
- 12:41, Caminiti A. (G),
- 16:49, Binns J. (G),
- 18:25, Curnow C. (G),
- 19:50, Curnow C. (G),
- 21:38, Cripps P. (Behind),
- 25:18, Sharman C. (G),
- 27:01, Binns J. (Behind),
- 2nd Quarter (16 - 27)
- 01:07, (Behind Rushed),
- 02:29, Curnow C. (G),
- 04:51, (Behind Rushed),
- 05:48, Young L. (G),
- 11:11, (Behind Rushed),
- 11:59, White W. (G),
- 14:56, Phillipou M. (G),
- 16:20, (Behind Rushed),
- 17:30, Higgins J. (G),
- 20:29, Young L. (G),
- 23:05, Marshall R. (Behind),
- 26:30, Phillipou M. (Behind),
- 29:16, Garcia H. (Behind),
- 3rd Quarter (8 - 8)
- 02:49, Macrae J. (Behind),
- 07:16, Sharman C. (G),
- 12:13, Marshall R. (Behind),
- 18:44, De Koning T. (Behind),
- 24:22, Cripps P. (Behind),
- 26:55, McKay H. (G),
- 4th Quarter (14 - 15)
- 03:38, (Behind Rushed),
- 06:10, Hollands E. (Behind),
- 07:44, Sinclair J. (G),
- 10:40, Durdin C. (Behind),
- 15:07, Phillipou M. (G),
- 17:15, Lord C. (G),
- 21:48, Hall M. (Behind),
- 26:43, Durdin C. (Behind),
- 27:43, McKay H. (G),
Preview
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 13).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 3.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. Carlton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match. We predict that Carlton will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St Kilda won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1709:1601. (average 85.5:80.1).Including home matches between the teams, St Kilda won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 741:726. (average 82.3:80.7).
banner
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| AFL | | | 25.08.24 | Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints | 74:76 | | 06.08.23 | St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues | 54:73 | | 23.04.23 | Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints | 60:82 | | 01.07.22 | Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints | 78:93 | | 30.07.21 | St Kilda Saints - Carlton Blues | 81:112 | | AAMI Community Series | | | 04.03.21 | Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints | 99:125 | | AFL | | | 02.07.20 | Carlton Blues - St Kilda Saints | 55:73 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;