Match Info

NBL - Round 5

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: John Cain Arena (Melbourne)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	ESPN


	Melbourne United		New Zealand Breakers

	1	2
			Watch
	1.12	6.37
	1.10	5.36	Watch
	1.14	5.9	Watch
	1.14	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.13 ↑ (1.1)	5.91 ↑ (5.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 179.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Melbourne United
84%

New Zealand Breakers
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

83%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Melbourne United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

New Zealand Breakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Melbourne United - New Zealand Breakers Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Delany F.	9. Baker R.
35. Doyle M.	8. Brockington I.
14. Edwards J.	6. Jackson-Cartwright P. (C)
13. Krebs T.	1. Lopez K.
2. Walker T.	3. Mennenga S.
Substitutes
3. Blogg C.	2. Bairstow S.
15. Bowen K.	5. Britt T.
4. Daniels D.	12. Darling M.
43. Goulding C. (C)	21. Davison C.
30. Koppens T.	4. Le'Afa I.
18. Krslovic F.	15. Loe R.
9. Machar M.	7. Te Rangi R.
12. Wilson T.

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 4.

Melbourne is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

NZ Breakers has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, NZ Breakers has had a series of home games.

In this match, Melbourne is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1804:1663. (average 90.2:83.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 954:846. (average 95.4:84.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Melbourne United
Australian NBL
17.10.25	Brisbane Bullets - Melbourne United	86:95 ✺
12.10.25	Melbourne United - Cairns Taipans	95:60 ✺
08.10.25	Sydney Kings - Melbourne United	93:107 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
03.10.25	Melbourne United - New Orleans Pelicans	97:107 ✺
Australian NBL
25.09.25	Melbourne United - South East Melbourne Phoenix	103:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWLW
- New Zealand Breakers
Australian NBL
17.10.25	New Zealand Breakers - Tasmania JackJumpers	82:65 ✺
11.10.25	New Zealand Breakers - South East Melbourne Phoenix	81:87 ✺
08.10.25	New Zealand Breakers - Illawarra Hawks	117:88 ✺
04.10.25	Sydney Kings - New Zealand Breakers	97:75 ✺
27.09.25	New Zealand Breakers - Perth Wildcats	78:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL
21.09.25	Melbourne United - New Zealand Breakers	114:82
13.01.25	New Zealand Breakers - Melbourne United	89:91
05.12.24	New Zealand Breakers - Melbourne United	70:96
04.11.24	Melbourne United - New Zealand Breakers	79:113
10.02.24	Melbourne United - New Zealand Breakers	94:81
12.01.24	New Zealand Breakers - Melbourne United	81:82
21.10.23	Melbourne United - New Zealand Breakers	97:88

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