Match Info

AUSTRIA: ICE Hockey League - Round 30

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: Hodegart (Asiago)


	Asiago		Red Bull Salzburg

	1	X	2
	5.5	6	1.33
	5.45	5.35	1.41	Watch
	5.7	5.35	1.38
	5.9	5.7	1.38
	6	5.5	1.33
	5.98	5.6	1.37	Watch
	5.45	5.35	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.71 ↑ (4.74)	5.55 ↑ (4.9)	1.37 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Asiago
16.2%

Draw
16.6%

Red Bull Salzburg
67.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

18.8%

61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

16.8%

55.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Asiago has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Salzburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Asiago than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Asiago, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Salzburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Asiago - Red Bull Salzburg Predictions

Users Predictions: Red Bull Salzburg will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:4

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Costantini M. (G)	35. Tolvanen A. (G)
89. Rigoni F.	43. Sinn P.
57. Cairns M.	22. Robertson D.
9. Misley B.	3. Schneider P.
26. Kaspick T.	70. Nissner B.
12. Miceli A.	17. Kosmachuk S.
Line 2
4. Gios G.	2. Lewington T.
11. Vallati G.	39. Genoway Ch.
13. Saracino N.	96. Huber M.
21. Gennaro M.	19. Rowe A.
14. Ierullo A.	26. Hochkofler P.
Line 3
23. Marchetti S.	4. Nienhuis N.
17. Casetti L.	67. Wimmer P.
95. Magnabosco M.	21. Bourke T.
19. Rigoni F.	9. Wukovits A.
71. Porco N.	89. Baltram F.
Line 4
54. Marcazzan G.	55. Schreier L.
53. Miglioranzi A.	18. Stapelfeld P.
16. Stevan M.	48. Thaler L.
40. Zampieri S.	16. Auer L.
	80. Kraus N.
Substitutes
37. Fazio J. (G)	30. Kickert D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
07:15, 1 - 0, Ierullo A. (G), Saracino N. (A),
08:03, 1 - 1, Bourke T. (G), Baltram F. (A),
17:56, 1 - 2, Kosmachuk S. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:20, 2 - 2, Saracino N. (G), Ierullo A. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
08:46, 2 - 3, Huber M. (G), Lewington T. (A),
17:17, 3 - 3, Saracino N. (G), Vallati G. (A),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 0)
1, (Penalty Shot),
1, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
2, (Penalty Shot),
3, (Penalty Shot),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ ICE Hockey League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Asiago won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Asiago could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Asiago have a series of home games.

In this match Red Bull Salzburg is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Asiago won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 24:33 (average 2.4:3.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Asiago won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 16:17 (average 3.2:3.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Asiago Hockey
Austrian Ice Hockey League
01.02.25	Asiago - Vienna Capitals	3:0 ✺
29.01.25	Asiago - Black Wings Linz	3:7 ✺
24.01.25	Asiago - Fehérvár AV 19	3:2 OT ✺
19.01.25	Graz 99ers - Asiago	8:3 ✺
17.01.25	Asiago - Pustertal-Val Pusteria	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WLWLW
- HC Red Bull Salzburg
Austrian Ice Hockey League
02.02.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Bolzano	6:2 ✺
31.01.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Villacher	2:3 ✺
28.01.25	TWK Innsbruck - Red Bull Salzburg	2:6 ✺
26.01.25	Vienna Capitals - Red Bull Salzburg	5:3 ✺
24.01.25	Red Bull Salzburg - EC KAC	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
18.10.24	Asiago - Red Bull Salzburg	5:1
22.09.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Asiago	4:3
04.02.24	Asiago - Red Bull Salzburg	2:3 penalties
09.01.24	Red Bull Salzburg - Asiago	3:1
26.11.23	Asiago - Red Bull Salzburg	2:6
20.10.23	Red Bull Salzburg - Asiago	4:2
14.02.23	Asiago - Red Bull Salzburg	4:2

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