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Current Win Probability
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg 39.2%
Draw 23.3%
Ak Bars Kazan 37.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.3%
22.4%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
25.1%
41.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Ak Bars Kazan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ak Bars Kazan than the current prediction. (+4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - Ak Bars Kazan Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Avtomobilist will win (votes: 14 - 100%). Confidence interval (95%) for Avtomobilist: 100% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
18. Alikin Y. (G)
82. Bilyalov T. (G)
9. Blacker J.
58. Miller M.
88. Tryamkin N. (C)
96. Lyamkin N.
15. Golyshev A.
95. Galimov A.
77. Da Costa S.
24. Safonov I.
97. Kizimov S.
17. Barabanov A.
Line 2
21. Osipov M.
53. Marchenko A. (C)
7. Busygin Y.
89. Karpukhin I.
17. Macek B.
29. Todd N.
86. Sharov A.
94. Semyonov K. (A)
11. Sprong D.
55. Chmelevski A.
Line 3
2. Zborovsky S.
28. Terekhov S.
55. Vorobyov K. (A)
33. Yarullin A.
24. Denezhkin M.
23. Jaskin D.
92. Gorbunov R.
11. Fisenko M. (A)
31. Khripunov S.
14. Denisenko G.
Line 4
26. Ishimnikov N.
22. Bardin I.
19. Chernikov Y.
71. Pustozyorov A.
28. Byvaltsev A. (A)
92. Katelevsky D.
99. Shashkov N.
86. Dynyak N.
Substitutes
1. Galkin V. (G)
20. Arefyev M. (G)
18. Potapov Y.
Coaches
. Zavarukhin N.
. Gatiyatulin A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
04:56, Fisenko M. (2 min),
09:03, Dynyak N. (2 min),
13:29, Busygin Y. (2 min),
14:54, 0 - 1, Lyamkin N. (G), Semyonov K. (A),
17:21, Sharov A. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
06:31, Kizimov S. (2 min),
08:12, Jaskin D. (2 min),
15:52, 1 - 1, Shashkov N. (G), Khripunov S. (A), Gorbunov R. (A2)
18:11, Marchenko A. (2 min),
18:47, 2 - 1, Tryamkin N. (G), Gorbunov R. (A), Sprong D. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
01:28, Tryamkin N. (2 min),
03:16, 2 - 2, Lyamkin N. (G), Pustozyorov A. (A), Jaskin D. (A2)
08:00, Chmelevski A. (2 min),
Overtime (0 - 0)
02:23, Karpukhin I. (2 min),
Penalties (2 - 1)
1, Chmelevski A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Chernikov Y. (Penalty Shot),
2, Barabanov A. (Penalty Shot),
2, Golyshev A. (Penalty Shot),
3, Denisenko G. (Penalty Shot),
3, Sprong D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Sharov A. (Penalty Shot),
4, Galimov A. (Penalty Shot),
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
Avtomobilist is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Ak Bars is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 3.
Avtomobilist is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Ak Bars has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Avtomobilist may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Avtomobilist has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Avtomobilist won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 47:55. (average 2.4:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Avtomobilist won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 2.1:2.6).
Last Results with these Odds
Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.34%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.